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Iowa Presidential Watch's

IOWA DAILY REPORT

Holding the Democrats accountable today, tomorrow...forever.

Our Mission: to hold the Democrat presidential candidates accountable for their comments and allegations against President George W. Bush, to make citizens aware of false statements or claims by the Democrat candidates, and to defend the Bush Administration and set the record straight when the Democrats make false or misleading statements about the Bush-Republican record.

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PAGE 1                                                                                                                   Friday, Aug. 15, 2003


Quotable: Edwards, a wealthy trial lawyer and first-term senator, was careful to mention three times that he is the son of a textile-mill worker.”Orlando Sentinel’s Mark Silva, covering union forum in Waterloo


Quotable: “But, as even Clinton loyalists know, at the end of the day with Bill and Hill, it's always about Bill and Hill.”Boston Globe’s Joan Vennochi, commenting on the Clintons & California recall election


Quotable: “I'm tired of having Democrats tilt at windmills.”Dean, at health care forum yesterday in Des Moines


Quotable: “One might even call Dean's style, with its heavy emphasis on the Internet, ‘electro-pop.’” – Pollster Matt Towery, noting that tracking poll shows Dean “catapulting” past Lieberman


Quotable: “Gephardt is working hard to put a new face on his campaign. The old one hasn't been working.”AP’s Ron Fournier, one of an army of wannabe watchers following the Dem hopefuls in Iowa this week, reporting from Waterloo


Quotable: “Edwards barely registers in national and state polls, and suffers from a perception among some Democrats that he offers nothing more than a slick presentation.”Fournier, reporting on Edwards’ plight from Charles City


Quotable: “America has a choice, it can have tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans or health care for all Americans.”Kerry, speaking yesterday at health care forum in Des Moines


Quotable: “For better or worse, however, a number of Bush aides, Republican strategists and pollsters believe the Terminator's fortunes in the recall, if only because of his dominating presence in the race, will affect the president's reelection prospects next year in the nation's most populous state -- and possibly beyond.”Washington Post report


Notable Quotable: “No genuine conservative has been elected in California since Ronald Reagan in 1970. Arnold Schwarzenegger may not be much of a Republican and not conservative at all, but George W. Bush welcomes anybody invigorating a comatose California GOP.”  Columnist Robert Novak in yesterday’s Chicago Sun-Times


Iowa State Fair:  

Today is Bankers Trust International Day with fairgoers encouraged to “take pride in their ethnic diversity by wearing native dress or the colors of their heritage and culture.” The “Ladies Husband-Calling Contest” is at Pioneer Hall. The celebrity dairy goat milking contest is in the Swine Barn tonight. Saturday is Drake University Day with the antique tractor pull at the Grandstand during the day. The pigeon show is in the Poultry Building.

 

Iowa Pres Watch Note

 -- Tough times, especially with critical media observations, for some of the wannabes: Part of the campaign suspense today is to see which Dem wannabe AP’s political designated hitter Ron Fournier – who’s in Iowa tracking the hopefuls wandering around the state this week – will choose as his next subject, although the candidates are probably feeling more like victims when he touches the keyboard. In his report on Gephardt, Fournier wrote that the Missouri congressman was “working hard to put a new face on his campaign. The old one hasn’t been working.” Covering Edwards in Charles City yesterday, Fournier wrote: “His campaign is at a do-or-die stage as he tries to improve his standing.”  Meanwhile back on the home front, Des Moines Register columnist David Yepsen was writing about Kerry’s prospects: “He was smart, rich, experienced, conversant on issues and bulletproofed from any Republican inferences he was weak on defense. Unfortunately for Kerry, it hasn’t played out that way.” Most likely candidate for Fournier’s next analytical report: Smokin’or Slumpin’ – Joe Lieberman, who’s scheduled in Iowa today. Even better news for the wannabes: Yepsen’s column normally doesn’t appear again until Sunday.     

 

GENERAL NEWS:  Among the offerings in today's update:

  • In Iowa, Kerry says he’s “blessed to be wealthy” and then touches the third rail of national politics – Social Security revisions

  • Hillary vs. Arnold: Boston Globe commentary poses question – “As California goes, so goes Hillary Clinton?”

  • In Atlanta guest column, pollster says Dean’s “rural strategy” is paying off, reports his latest tracking poll has the ex-VT Guv leading the Dem pack

  • Report from Waterloo: Gephardt seeking to reenergize his campaign

  • Report from Charles City: Edwards campaign at “do-or-die stage

  • Washington Post report says Schwarzenegger outcome could impact GWB in 2004

  • Seven of nine wannabes – minus Lieberman and Sharpton – rally in DSM to push health care and to, as usual, bash Bush

  • In Washington state, Lieberman continues “Joe’s Jobs Tour” and advocates government policies encouraging environmentally friendly technologies and job creation

  • Dean says New Hampshire flooding will be first test of FEMA since reorganized

  • Washington Post poll: Majority of Americans oppose church decision to recognize same-sex marriages

  • Graham will be “Wobegon” in New Hampshire – the FL Sen will appear on non-broadcast edition of Prairie Home Companion this weekend

  • DSM Register’s Yepsen writes that Kerry’s base is being “piecemealed” – urban liberals to Dean, populists to Kucinich, labor to Gephardt

  • Reporting from Waterloo, Orlando Sentinel’s Silva writes that union honchos are committed to major ’04 effort – but don’t have a horse yet

  • Iowaism: State testing system to make bridge self-de-icing

All these stories below and more.


Morning reports:

 WHO-TV (Des Moines) reports that a major power outage similar to the East Coast blackout – due to the structure of the Midwestern electrical grid system – is unlikely in Iowa. Midwestern utilities operate on a different grid format than their eastern counterparts

Numerous media reports this morning that Pfc. David Kirchhoff of Anamosa was the first Iowa National Guard member to die on active duty since the Vietnam conflict. Media accounts yesterday indicated Kirchhoff, 31 – the fifth Iowan to die in Iraq conflict -- had been transferred to Germany for treatment, but reports today say he suffered from heatstroke. He served with the 2168hth Transportation Company from Cedar Rapids

Radio Iowa reports this morning that 12 Iowa schools have failed to meet federal math and reading standards – down from 26 last year. All of the schools, primarily in eastern Iowa with five in Davenport and two in Waterloo, are located east of Interstate 35.       


 CANDIDATES & CAUCUSES

Wannabes still terrorizing Iowans. Wrapping up a flurry of wannabe visits to the state, at least three Dem candidates are scheduled at the Hawkeye Labor Council forum in Cedar Rapids tonight. Other events and activities today – Dean has stops in Nevada, Eldora, Marshalltown, Chelsea and Cedar Rapids. Edwards is scheduled to visit the state fair and visit Toledo, Vinton, Cedar Rapids and Iowa City. Kucinich appears with actor/activist Ed Asner in Cedar Rapids. Lieberman attends the state fair. According to current schedules, only Edwards – on a “Main Street” tour of the state – is expected to remain in state on Saturday with Independence, Oelwein, Dubuque and Maquoketa visits.

… “Dick Gephardt Seeks to Energize Campaign” – headline from FOXNews.com. Excerpt from coverage – datelined Waterloo – by AP political ace Ron Fournier: “When Dick Gephardt attacked his free trade-backing rivals for president, Deb Hansen shouted her approval. She shook her fist and applauded when the Missouri Democrat blasted President Bush's tax cuts. When he spoke in hushed tones about his son's recovery from cancer, she dabbed tears from her eyes. ‘I've never seen this much emotion from Gephardt,’ Hansen said after Gephardt and five other Democratic presidential candidates addressed her Iowa labor group. ‘It's a new face for him.’ Gephardt is working hard to put a new face on his campaign. The old one hasn't been working. The former minority leader has failed to meet his national fund-raising goals. He's had mixed results courting organized labor. And his lead as measured by polls in Iowa, where the first votes will be cast for president in 2004, has been erased by insurgent candidate Howard Dean. Gephardt, who won Iowa's caucuses during his failed 1988 presidential bid, concedes he must win here again to remain in the Democratic race. ‘I'm in good shape,’ he said after addressing the Iowa Federation of Labor. In a fiery speech, the former House minority leader focused on his pro-union trade record and sweeping health care plan. He sought to undermine his key rivals and impress Democratic activists who wonder whether he can muster the passion and policies to defeat Bush after 26 years in Congress. ‘I'm the guy who fought my own president, President Clinton, on trade,’ Gephardt said. He opposed the North American Free Trade Agreement, which was supported by four of his current rivals. ‘Some of the other candidates...will tell you now that they would not be for China (trade agreements) or NAFTA without the environment or labor protections. Let me tell you,’ Gephardt said, his face turning red as he wagged his finger, ‘most of them were for those treaties when they were before the Congress.’ He defended his plan to divert more than $200 billion of Bush's tax cuts to health care, primarily to give businesses tax breaks for providing insurance. Earlier in the forum, Sens. John Kerry and Bob Graham said the Missouri lawmaker's plan was too expensive and would never pass Congress. Gephardt responded by telling the group about his adult son who as a boy suffered from cancer. He recalled meeting parents who couldn't afford treatment for their sick children. ‘This is a moral issue,’ Gephardt said, shouting into the microphone. ‘It is immoral to have people without health care.’ Gephardt has been making similar policy points on the campaign trail for weeks, and he has become a more passionate speaker since resigning as minority leader to run for president. But the reaction Wednesday suggests that his presidential message and style have gone largely unnoticed thus far -- even inside the labor community he has courted for years. ‘Gephardt did himself some good,’ Mark Smith, president of the IFL, said after the forum. ‘I think he allayed some fears people had about whether he had the fire in his belly.’…He seems confident, but not certain, that his approach will win voters over - one speech at a time, if necessary. ‘I'm very passionate about these issues,’ Gephardt said, ‘and I hope it shows.’ Hansen said it does. She came to the meeting backing Dean, but now is taking a second look. ‘Dean still gets a star’ for his speech, she said. ‘Gephardt gets two.’

Lost in space – or at least New Hampshire? Graham becomes involved in “valley” vs. “region” controversy. Excerpt from yesterday’s “Granite Status” column by John DiStaso, the Union Leader’s senior political editor: Memo To Graham Camp. Last week, we took a light-hearted jab at the Graham campaign for calling southwestern New Hampshire the ‘Monadnock Valley’ Region when, in fact, it is the Monadnock RegionGraham state campaign chief Steve Bouchard didn’t like it a bit and let us know that he’s lived in the state all his life and it’s not wrong to refer to the area as the Monadnock Valley. He said there are several references to the Monadnock Valley region on the Internet and even sent us three stories from this very newspaper referring to a Monadnock Valley.  Although we’ve lived here nearly 25 years and never heard of the Monadnock Valley, we checked. First, we checked the state’s official Web site, where it’s officially called ‘the Monadnock Region.’ Then, the Monadnock Travel Council’s Web site, which welcomes visitors to ‘the Monadnock Region.’ The state Office of Travel and Tourism Development assured us it’s the ‘Monadnock Region.’ Just to be sure, we checked with Union Leader columnist John Clayton, the connoisseur of everything New Hampshire, who confirmed it’s ‘the Monadnock Region.’”

Without Snow White, seven Dem dwarfs show up at Drake University to discuss their health care plans (for probably the 4,850th time) and attack the president (for probably the 629,382nd time). Headline from this morning’s Union Leader: “Democratic rivals joust on health care” Coverage – an excerpt datelined Des Moines – by AP’s Mike Glover: “Seven Democratic presidential nominees used an Iowa political forum Thursday to offer deeply personal pitches for revamping the nation's health system and to bash President Bush and large pharmaceutical companies. Most of the major Democratic candidates have offered plans to expand the nation's health care system, and would finance their efforts by repealing various portions of the tax cut the president pushed through Congress. ‘America has a choice, it can have tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans or health care for all Americans,” Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry told the gathering of health care advocates. Kerry used his recent bout with prostate cancer and the expensive treatment he got for the disease as an example of why the system needs to be changed. ‘We must stop being the only industrial nation in the world that does not understand that health care is not a privilege, it is a right,’ he said. Florida Sen. Bob Graham has health issues of his own, undergoing major heart surgery before he entered the race. ‘Clearly one of the challenges facing America is making health care affordable and accessible to all,’ Graham said. ‘That is a goal to which we all should be committed.’ Missouri Rep. Richard Gephardt pointed to his son's bout with cancer, and called health care a ‘moral issue.’…’It is immoral in this country to have people not have health care,’ Gephardt shouted. Former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean, a doctor, said he wanted the whole country to have health care like Vermont, which has health coverage for all youngsters and subsidized care for the working poor. ‘It can pass,’ Dean said. ‘I'm tired of having Democrats tilt at windmills.’ Dean later had one of his more colorful days on the campaign trail, as 200 people packed a local blues club to watch him play harmonica and guitar. Dean accompanied two other performers on two songs, including one written specifically for his campaign. He quietly sang along with lyrics like ‘Dean for America’ and ‘losing my mind from being left behind.’ Former Illinois Sen. Carol Moseley Braun and Ohio Rep. Dennis Kucinich offered their pitch for a single-payer, government-run health care system, where health coverage isn't tied to the workplace…North Carolina Sen. John Edwards touted his $53 billion plan to offer tax credits to help pay for insurance costs and argued that Bush's health care plans are likely dictated by political adviser Karl Rove…Gephardt also complained that giant pharmaceutical companies influence Bush's health care plans. ‘They put $70 million into the campaigns only of Republicans,’ Gephardt said. ‘It's time to kick the moneychangers out of the temples of government.’”

In Seattle suburb, Lieberman charges GWB has been “standing by” while jobs are being lost. Excerpt from report by the Seattle Post-Intelligencer’s Neil Modie: “Sen. Joseph Lieberman used a Bellevue company and its line of revolutionary, fuel-efficient machinery as a presidential campaign prop yesterday in a call for government encouragement of environmentally friendly technologies and job creation. ‘The Bush administration has been standing by and watching the loss of jobs and not presenting an effective alternative to it,’ the Connecticut Democrat said to a gathering of reporters and nearly all of the 20 employees of Ramgen Power Systems Inc. Ramgen, however, has enjoyed ample government backing. Doug Jewett, its president and chief executive, said support from the Energy Department, the Defense Department and Congress has been ‘absolutely critical’ in the company's effort to develop fuel-efficient air compressors, turbines and stationary engines using ramjet technology. Lieberman, one of nine Democrats seeking the party's 2004 presidential nomination, said Ramgen embodies much of his environmental and economic agenda: government incentives for developing new technology; reducing America's dependence on foreign oil through fuel efficiency; and a reduction in greenhouse gases…The company is developing highly efficient compressors and engines that can burn methane produced as a waste gas from coal processing, diverting it from adding to greenhouse gas emissions. ‘This is really a win-win-win technology that you're working on,’ Lieberman said. Companies such as Ramgen need ‘the kind of (government) incentives that I don't think this administration has been doing enough of, he said, to encourage investment in new technologies…He held a $1,000-a-head fund-raising luncheon at a Bellevue restaurant before leaving town. The theme of his swing is environmentally friendly technology and a continuation of what Lieberman calls ‘Joe's job tour,’ underscoring what he contends have been the Bush administration's economic failings. He said America has lost 3.2 million jobs, including 2.5 million in manufacturing, since Bush became president. He also used the hour-long stop at Ramgen to separate him from some of his Democratic presidential rivals on economic issues, cautioning against protectionism and blanket repeal of the Bush tax cuts. As he has with increasing frequency, Lieberman sought to contrast himself with former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean -- casting himself as the centrist candidate -- in the wake of Dean's skyrocketing popularity among party liberals. "He's opposed to the Bush tax cuts," Lieberman said, reiterating that he supports tax reductions for middle-income Americans earning less than $200,000 a year.”

Pollster reports that tracking polls have Dean in lead – notes that he passed over traditional Dem power groups and focused on rural America. Headline on guest column in yesterday’s Atlanta Journal-Constitution: “Dean’s rural strategy creates a major player” Column by Matt Towery of Atlanta, a former Georgia legislator, pollster and syndicated columnist. Excerpt: “My company's latest tracking poll shows that former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean, who barely registered in past polls, has catapulted ahead of Connecticut Sen. Joe Lieberman and now leads the pack of candidates seeking the Democratic presidential nomination. What explains the dramatic leap? Dean, who recently made the cover of three national newsweeklies, appears to be the one challenger to George W. Bush who is putting a new spin on the time-tested strategy of populism. One might even call Dean's style, with its heavy emphasis on the Internet, ‘electro-pop.’ Rather than pandering to traditional Democratic power groups such as trial attorneys, unions or urban bosses, he is focusing on rural America and the thousands of towns and smaller cities that serve it as centers of daily life. Small-town life predominates Vermont, and Dean is promising to help restore rural communities. He has tied positions on virtually every issue -- from the economy to the environment -- to the development and growth of rural areas, where he contends that President Bush's policies had little positive impact. For many people in less densely populated areas, the Web has become a primary tool, from shopping to entertainment. So it may be that Dean's ‘small-town’ thinking was the genesis of his campaign's celebrated strategy to have Web-using supporters forward campaign literature to others. This allows Dean's camp to expand its reach on the Internet without violating tough rules on e-mail spam. Indeed, Dean's campaign has built a virtual community of online supporters. Many of them rally to the call for ‘emergency’ small-dollar contributions that so far have eclipsed the amounts he has received from fat-cat contributors. A final and significant reason for Dean's dramatic emergence is that he is no longer viewed as completely out of step on Iraq. Just a few months ago, he stood virtually alone in his opposition to the Iraqi invasion. But Dean has since been joined by other Democratic presidential candidates who may not openly renounce the war effort, but are openly criticizing the Bush White House for its inability to produce evidence of weapons of mass destruction and for the continued bloody disorder in post-Saddam Iraq. We've seen many an early political star burn brightly at first, only to fizzle before the first big primary election tests happen. At the start of the election 2004 campaign, candidates such as North Carolina Sen. John Edwards were seen as the fresh new faces that might dominate the battle for the Democratic nomination. And an early victory in Iowa for a more traditional Democrat, such as U.S. Rep. Dick Gephardt of Missouri, could steal the thunder from Dean. But for now, the Dean campaign appears the leaner, faster and more in-touch campaign organization. Our polling shows Bush continuing to enjoy a significant lead against all potential Democratic foes. But Dean's campaign should give pause to both the president and his Democratic challengers.”

Life doesn’t get any easier for Edwards – especially with national AP reports that his campaign is at “a do-or-die stage.” Headline from this morning’s The Union Leader: “Edwards readies do-or-die presidential campaign” Excerpts from report – dateline Charles City – by AP’s Ron Fournier: “Though one of the most inexperienced candidates in the nine-person Democratic field, Edwards comes equipped with some of the tools that vaulted Bill Clinton to the presidency - Southern charm, an up-from-the-bootstraps biography, good looks and ability to convince voters that he feels their pain. But his candidacy has not caught onHis campaign is at a do-or-die stage as he tries to improve his standing. This is when the millionaire trial lawyer, second among the field's fund-raisers, must translate his advantages into support. ‘The next two or three months are critical,’ Edwards said aboard his huge campaign bus that is carrying his wife and two kids through Iowa and New Hampshire the next two weeks. This month he began airing about $500,000 worth of ads in Iowa and New Hampshire, the states where Democrats will make their first choices early next year. The ads, scheduled to run for about four weeks, focus on his working-class upbringing, his policies to help the middle class and his argument that President Bush favors wealth over hard work. When the ads run their course, another round is likely to follow. ‘I want to make sure the voters know me, where I'm from and what my vision is,’ Edwards said. ‘For the first time, I'm communicating with voters in Iowa in New Hampshire.Edwards barely registers in national and state polls, and suffers from a perception among some Democrats that he offers nothing more than a slick presentation. He is combating the criticism with a set of policy initiatives that may be the most creative and detailed of the field. Edwards wants to offer free tuition to freshman college students willing to work 10 hours a week. Parents would be required to insure their children under a health care plan that offered them tax incentives. Both initiatives trace Clinton's effort to appeal to the Democrats' middle-class roots by offering new government programs while assuring swing voters that accountability comes with the spendingThe fall buildup includes Edwards' formal announcement in mid-September. He also is expected to soon announce his intentions for his Senate seat, which is up for election in 2004. Party leaders in North Carolina are pressing him to make way for a Democrat to seek his seat. Edwards wouldn't tip his hand Thursday, but he sounds and acts like a man willing to let another Democrat try for the Senate as he shoots for the presidency. ‘I'm in this for the long haul,’ he said.”

Graham gets cameo with Garrison Keillor this weekend in New Hampshire, but central question remains: Will he – or both of them – break out in song? Headline from yesterday’s Miami Herald: “Graham’s ‘Wobegon’ workday…He’ll have cameo on New Hampshire’s ‘Prairie’ show” Coverage – an excerpt – from report by the Herald’s Peter Wallsten: Florida Sen. Bob Graham will make a cameo appearance this weekend in a special nonbroadcast edition of A Prairie Home Companion, the National Public Radio program hosted by his friend, Garrison Keillor. Sunday's show, part of the program's traveling ‘Rhubarb Tour,’ will be useful for Graham's presidential campaign: It takes place in Gilford, N.H., the state that is home to the first-in-the-nation presidential primary in January. Graham will appear as part of his patented ‘workday’ gimmick, possibly as a character in the regular Guy Noir, Private Eye sketch. He said he has known Keillor for years, ever since the NPR star began going to Washington to lobby for public radio. Keillor's assistant, Debra Beck, said Tuesday that a role for Graham had not yet been chosen…While there is no indication that Keillor's invitation is an endorsement, the appearance on the show will be only the latest taste of stardom for Graham's campaign. Graham, who often breaks out into song on the campaign trail (‘You've got a friend in Bob Graham…’) if given the chance, predicted he will likely do so with Keillor, as well. ‘Do you think that Garrison's audience should be denied that once-in-a-lifetime experience?’ Graham said with a smirk.”

All politics is local – especially in Iowa and New Hampshire during Dem nominating season. Dean finds way to tie NH flooding to Homeland Security Act. Headline from yesterday’s The Union Leader: “Dean says NH floods these new FEMA role” Excerpt from report by UL correspondent Stephen Seitz: “Flooding in southwestern New Hampshire could be the first real test of the Federal Emergency Management Administration since the Homeland Security Act took effect, according to Democratic Presidential hopeful Howard Dean.  ‘The most important thing is to have a FEMA that responds quickly,’ Dean said in a press conference call from Oklahoma yesterday morning. ‘Homeland security has taken some of their functions. We’re going to find out if some of the bureaucratic in-fighting over the homeland security agency will effect the recovery effort in New Hampshire.’ Dean, former governor of Vermont, had to call FEMA for assistance several times during his 11-year tenure. He had nothing but praise for FEMA’s response to Vermont’s floods …Dean included emergency planning as part of a speech on rural development he delivered in Iowa yesterday. Among other things, Dean said that saving America’s family farms was a high priority. Among the ways to do that, he said, are to expand broadband Internet service to rural America, and invest more in alternative fuels like biodiesel and ethanol.”

Wealthy wannabe – Kerry – indicates he would consider Social Security means-testing for rich Americans. Headline from yesterday’s Boston Globe: “Kerry hints at reform for Social Security” The Globe’s Glen Johnson – one of a small army of reporters covering the wannabes in IA this week – reported on Kerry’s campaign stop in Webster City. Excerpt: “Declaring ‘I am blessed to be wealthy,’ Senator John F. Kerry said that, if elected president, he would consider some form of means-testing for rich Americans as part of a broader review of ideas to shore up the Social Security system. The Massachusetts Democrat told a group of Hamilton County political activists late Tuesday that one idea bearing exploration is eliminating Social Security payments to the wealthy after they have recouped the money they paid into the federal retirement program during their working life. ‘Rich people are getting checks from poor people, well beyond what they put into the system,’ said Kerry, a millionaire in his own right and the husband of Teresa Heinz Kerry. She is a philanthropist and heiress to the Heinz ketchup empire whose net worth has been estimated at more than $550 million. Kerry said he had a right to recoup his personal tax payments into the retirement system but no need for government support beyond that. A spokeswoman for the AARP said that the nonpartisan association would not comment on candidates' positions, but added that it did not support means-testing for Social Security recipients. Another idea Kerry said he would consider is raising the cut-off point after which people no longer pay into the system. Americans pay Social Security taxes only on the first $86,000 they earn in a year. Kerry said he has heard suggestions about raising that threshold as a way of building up the fund for the pending retirement of the baby boom generation. ‘Maybe people ought to pay up to $100,000 or $120,000, I don't know,’ the senator said. The baby boom generation is expected to put a tremendous strain on the retirement system, and the government projects that Social Security could be insolvent by 2042. But tinkering with Social Security is considered akin to touching the third rail in politics, because poorer Americans have relied on the program since it was instituted by President Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1935. And older Americans who are receiving Social Security checks are an active and potent group of voters. Kerry presented his ideas in response to an audience question. Aware of the potential political peril, he took pains to couch his remarks, both to the county Democrats and to a group of reporters who interviewed him after the appearance. He said he has not committed to the ideas and would consider them only after assembling ‘a group of wise souls who've been through the process’ to conduct a larger review of Social Security. Kerry also said he has decided against two ideas that have already generated protests: raising the full Social Security retirement age beyond 67, and reducing the payments made under the program.”

Waterloo Labor Forum Revisited: Another View – Orlando Sentinel reports labor leaders ready to ride into battle, but haven’t picked a horse yet. Headline on yesterday’s Sentinel: “Democratic suitors vie for hand of AFL-CIO” Excerpt from Sentinel report – datelined Waterloo – by Mark Silva: “Labor leaders are ready for battle with President Bush in 2004, but they haven't found their Democratic champion yet. In the state that will take the first measure of Democratic candidates for president with January party caucuses, six appealed Wednesday for the support of the AFL-CIO, a labor force still debating which presidential hopeful to endorse. ‘Somebody asked me if George Bush had been bought and sold by big corporate America,’ said Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina. ‘I said no, they didn't even have to buy him…He is taking a two-by-four to the American dream.’ Sen. John Kerry of Massachusetts told his union audience, ‘Everyone I've met in America is tired of being trickled on by George Bush's economic policy. I have stood with you through the years . . . stronger than most other candidates in this field. The question for all of us is who can beat George Bush.’ The AFL-CIO promises its biggest campaign effort ever for the Democratic presidential nominee. The union alliance is sponsoring voter-registration drives, member-education and an unparalleled get-out-the-vote effort on Election Day 2004. But it's uncertain that the union will endorse any of the nine Democrats seeking their party's nomination in this winter's caucuses and primaries -- two-thirds of the union affiliates' leaders must agree on an endorsement. With 66 national unions, leaders say, it will be tough this year to get a consensus. ‘I would say that the only candidate right now who could get two-thirds is Dick Gephardt,’ said Richard Trumka, AFL-CIO secretary-treasurer. ‘We're still going through the process. Hopefully, we can have a consensus.’ Gephardt, the Missouri congressman who carried Iowa's caucuses in 1988, came on strong here Wednesday. ‘There's an old saying about cowboys -- all hat, no cattle,’ Gephardt said. With Bush, he said, it's: ‘All hat, no jobs. All hat, no health care. All hat, no clue.’ A united union voice could be a powerful force for any Democrat winning union backing in winter primary elections. In Iowa, scene of the first party caucuses Jan. 19, the AFL-CIO claims 140,000 members, including schoolteachers. Union activists could account for a third of Iowa's caucus-goers, which helps explain why six of the Democrats seeking their party's nomination came to a convention center in downtown Waterloo on Wednesday for a presidential forum. Edwards, a wealthy trial lawyer and first-term senator, was careful to mention three times that he is the son of a textile-mill workerKerry proposes allowing people to take part in the federal health-care plan covering members of Congress and providing a 50 percent tax credit for the costs for small businesses that cover their employees…Gephardt wants to require all employers to provide health-care coverage for their employees. He proposes a federal tax credit for employers to help pay for it all. Gephardt campaigned here as the son of a milk-truck driver and the father of a son who had cancer at the age of 2. He was insured, and his son survived…Graham proposes starting by covering all children, then the "working poor" and early retirees. This could reach 75 percent of all people now uninsured, Graham said, and it could be achieved at a cost of $70 billion a year. ‘If a Gephardt-type bill were passed by Congress, yes, I would sign it into law,’ Graham said in response to a union question. ‘But I think it's very unlikely.’

… “Still time for Kerry – but hold the ketchup” – Headline on David Yepsen’s political column in yesterday’s Des Moines Register. Excerpt from column with a Webster City dateline: “John Kerry's presidential hopes in Iowa rest with people like Ramona Timm, a Blairsburg farmer who showed up here Tuesday night to hear the Massachusetts senator. ‘He had some good points,’ she said after his speech to about 75 Hamilton County Democrats. ‘I like Senator Kerry. I like Howard Dean. I haven't had a chance to meet them all yet so I'm open-minded." For Kerry, that's good news. With all the buzz about Dean's momentum or Dick Gephardt's trouble in the polls, there's a tendency by some in the political community to forget it's five months until caucuses Jan. 19, when people like Timm have to make a choice. And Kerry needs every minute of that time. He's running third in polls in Iowa. He started campaigning here later than other candidates, and hasn't spent as much time here. His vote to authorize a war in Iraq caused a number of anti-war Democrats to bypass him in favor of Dean. Then there was the bout with prostate cancer that slowed him down. Now, just when he's trying to put his political flaps down to lift his campaign, the political fiasco in California is crowding out media coverage of - and money for - the Democratic presidential race. It wasn't supposed to be this way. Kerry, a seasoned U.S. senator and decorated Vietnam veteran, was seen by many early on as the national heavy favorite to beat President Bush. He was smart, rich, experienced, conversant on issues and bulletproofed from any Republican inferences he was weak on defense. Unfortunately for Kerry, it hasn't played out that way. His base is being piecemealed. He's lost some of the urban liberals to Dean over the war. He's lost some of the populists to Dennis Kucinich. Gephardt denies him some in the labor movement. Too many Democrats worry he'll be pegged as too liberal, as were the last two Massachusetts Democratic presidential candidates, Edward Kennedy and Michael Dukakis. And there are days when Kerry must feel snake bit. On Wednesday, the Washington Post even wrote a story about how Kerry went to Philadelphia and ordered a cheese steak sandwich made with - horrors - Swiss cheese instead of Cheez Whiz. That's a little like coming to the Iowa State Fair and ordering oysters on the half-shell. John Norris, Kerry's well- regarded campaign manager in Iowa, said such negativism is getting to some of the younger staffers. He said he had to buck them up in this week's staff conference call by saying their jobs are to quietly build the organization, not worry about the buzz. He said Kerry's campaign is picking up key supporters in every county, people who understand the caucus process and can mobilize others…Kerry is also delivering a punchier, less esoteric message. He told reporters here he's ‘coming out of spring training’ and ‘I save my best for last.’ That's good, but it can be risky. He told the audience here the country should consider raising Social Security taxes on incomes above $86,000 or capping the retirement benefits paid to wealthy Americans. Later he said those were just ‘options’ he was considering. There was a time, back in the good old days, when presidential candidates could get away with winging it in Iowa, with trying out new ideas or brainstorming out loud with voters. No more. Not when you are always followed by a half-dozen reporters noting your every word. In Iowa, with one of the oldest populations in the country, you especially don't ad lib on something as politically sensitive as Social Security. Will somebody make sure Kerry doesn't put ketchup on his Maid-Rite?


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