Iowa 2004 presidential primary precinct caucus and caucuses news, reports and information on 2004 Democrat and Republican candidates, campaigns and issues

Iowa Presidential Watch's

IOWA DAILY REPORT
Holding the Democrats accountable today, tomorrow...forever.

Our Mission: to hold the Democrat presidential candidates accountable for their comments and allegations against President George W. Bush, to make citizens aware of false statements or claims by the Democrat candidates, and to defend the Bush Administration and set the record straight when the Democrats make false or misleading statements about the Bush-Republican record.

The Iowa Daily Report, Wednesday, December 17, 2003

* QUOTABLE:

"The United Nations as an organization failed to help rescue the Iraqi people from a murderous tyranny that lasted over 35 years, and today we are unearthing thousands of victims in horrifying testament to that failure. The U.N. must not fail the Iraqi people again," said Iraq's foreign minister, Hoshyar Zebari.

There are two huge reasons why the Democratic nominee in 2004 needs to be tough. First, George Bush is a tough guy, and the nominee needs to be tough against Bush. Second, the world is a tougher place since Sept. 11, and the president of the United States had better be tough enough to protect us. -- writes Robert Kuttner in the Boston Globe.

"The Democrats' hateful, moronic comments are beyond the pale, and the Democrats know it, but they don't care because they have nothing to offer the public debate but rage, resentment and quackery. Until other Democrats stand up against this hysteria, they're admitting to the country their party has no claim to national leadership," said House Majority Leader Tom DeLay.

"Reading this stuff," he says, "one wonders if the 2004 Democrat Party platform is tentatively titled, 'Dean Flew Over the Cuckoo's Nest,' " said Tom Delay.

* TODAY’S OFFERINGS:

Howard Dean: *Ad flap *Graham covers for Dean
*Dean Congressional endorsement *Jesse Jackson Jr. missed breakfast

Dick Gephardt: *Gephardt on Bush bigotry *Gephardt ad
*Gephardt’s Oklahoma

John Kerry: *Kerry would increase military force
*Kerry: cargo inspections

Wesley Clark: *Clark bungled Kosovo *Clark ‘intemperate’
*Clark: get bin Laden *Clark Bush-bashing

John Edwards: *Edwards visits Iowa’s 99 counties
*Edwards calls Bush cynical

Joe Lieberman: *Ban Halliburton *Lieberman’s fundraising

Just Politics: *The Great Des Moines Register Debate
*NY, NY *Poll watching

 

 * CANDIDATES & CAUCUSES:

Ad flap

The Supreme Court in affirming the McCain-Feingold Campaign Finance Reform law stated that like water money would find its way into political campaigns. Well, the dam has broke.

We are now dealing with the revelations that MoveOn.org is using foreign money and billionaire George Soros’ millions to defeat President Bush.

Now, the unions have buyer’s remorse for their support of Americans for Jobs, Healthcare and Progressive Values -- specifically the ad showing Osama bin Laden and lays into Howard Dean as unqualified to keep America safe.

"The ads are despicable and we ought to ask for the refund," said Rick Sloan, a spokesman for the International Association of Machinists.

It seems that a number of unions put up $50,000 a piece to funnel money into attack ads against Dean. The unions -- who are blocked from giving soft money for ads -- and the individuals running the PAC are all in support of Dick Gephardt. Gephardt denies knowing anything about the group, and that is possible.

Howard Dean’s campaign manager has put this open letter on the Dean campaign website:

Dec. 16, 2003
Last week, a group called "Americans for Jobs, Health Care and Progressive Values" began airing a television ad in New Hampshire and South Carolina attacking Howard Dean's commitment to defending America. The group is headed by a Democratic contributor, and the press secretary is a former aide to one of Dr. Dean’s rivals. Using the image of Osama bin Laden, it is the kind of fearmongering attack we’ve come to expect from Republicans and panders to the worst in voters. I'm writing to call on each one of you to condemn this despicable ad and demand it be pulled from the airwaves.

Democrats are better than this. This type of ad represents everything that is wrong with our political process today -- polluting our airwaves with smears on other candidates that have nothing to do with legitimate policy differences. Ads like this are the reason that less than half of the voting population in America bothers to go to the polls.

We Democrats should be committing ourselves to bringing more people into the process instead of resorting to tactics that cause more people to lose faith in politics altogether. Our campaign is committed to inspiring people to believe in their democracy again -- challenging 2 million people to donate $100 each to take back their country.

Our party must be about more than just changing presidents -- it must be dedicated to changing our country's politics. I hope you'll join me in denouncing this ad and demanding it be pulled from the airwaves immediately.

Sincerely,
Joe Trippi, Campaign Manager, Dean for America

Graham covers for Dean

Sen. Bob Graham -- attending a Democrat National Party fund-raiser in Florida featuring Hillary Clinton -- offered defense of Howard Dean’s latest statements, according to the Miami Herald:

Under a barrage of attacks from Democratic competitors who say his opposition to the Iraq war makes him a weak presidential candidate, Howard Dean won some political cover Tuesday from a former rival: Florida Sen. Bob Graham. Graham, addressing some of the party's most influential Florida players at a dinner at the Four Seasons Hotel Miami near downtown Miami, defended Dean's foreign policy agenda as ''visionary.'' He also called on Democratic candidates to end their sniping.

Dean Congressional endorsement

Howard Dean continues his campaign for endorsements from Congressional members and state governors. Since the endorsement of Al Gore, Dean has been making gains among the Democrat leadership that is so important when it comes to Super Delegates. Many of the congressional members and state governors make up the appointed super delegates to the Democrat National Convention.

Dean’s latest endorsement is Congresswoman Hilda L. Solis (CA-32) She cited Dean’s work on ensuring access to affordable health care and protecting the environment as the reason for her endorsement.

Meanwhile, Dean spoke before large crowds yesterday, turning out about 500 people at a seniors center in Sun City, AZ, then rallying with about 300 hundred people in Yuma, AZ. He also filled an airport hanger in Sierra Vista, AZ with about 300 people before closing the evening before at least 400 diehards in Las Cruces, NM.

Jesse Jackson Jr. missed breakfast

The Des Moines Register reports 50 people wedged between the produce aisle and shelves of laundry detergent Tuesday at Top Value Foods in Des Moines to have breakfast with Illinois Congressman Jesse Jackson Jr., who recently endorsed Howard Dean. However, weather caused Jackson's flight to Iowa to be canceled. Those in attendance were served up Dean's college roommate, New York attorney Ralph Dawson, He talk over the phone as those in attendance had breakfast.

Gephardt on Bush bigotry

Rep. Dick Gephardt accused President Bush of being in an alliance with bigotry for leaving the door open for a Constitutional amendment that would ban gay marriages. (Bush made the comments on ABC’s Prime Time with Diane Sawyer.) Here is Gephardt’s comment:

"President Bush's support of a constitutional amendment to ban gay marriage is in direct contrast with the views of tolerance and equality that reflect the values of the American people. It is time for President Bush to end his alliance with bigotry once and for all and speak out against the Republican Party's hostile election year attempt to polarize the election. I strongly oppose this effort as purely political and unnecessarily divisive at the expense of those who already suffer from discrimination. Throughout our history, the Constitution has been amended to afford expanded rights to disenfranchised citizens, not to unfairly single out a particular group of Americans by limiting their rights," said Gephardt.

Gephardt ad

Rep. Dick Gephardt has tweaked his healthcare ad. His first ad involved the testimonial about his son’s cancer treatment. Now, Gephardt is pointing out that his plan covers everyone. The ad:

"When I'm president, my first week as president, I'll go to the Congress and lay aside the Bush tax cuts and I'll use those moneys to see to it that everybody is covered with health insurance in this country that can never be taken away from you. I help part time employees, full time employees. I help people who already have insurance, people who don't have insurance. I help public employees.

"I'm Dick Gephardt and I approve this message because it's time we did what's right."

Fundraising

Gephardt said he's looking to pull in about $7 or 8 million by the end of the year, with matching funds. That's short of the $10 million originally hoped for, but the campaign continues to say they will have enough money to battle on in the early primary states.

Gephardt’s Oklahoma

Every Tuesday Rep. Dick Gephardt announces his recruitment of new endorsements from Oklahoma. This week it included the endorsement of the Northeastern Oklahoma Labor Council (NOLC). The NOLC voted Thursday night to endorse Rep. Dick Gephardt for the Democratic Party presidential nomination.

Sooner State Supporters for Week of December 16, 2003:

Dewayne Askew, Farmer, Tonkawa; Charlie Beam, Small business owner, Poteau; Patricia Blubaugh, Democratic Activist, Ponca City; Albert Brown, Pushmataha County Clerk, Antlers; Duwayne Bryant, CP Kelco employee, Schulter; Christina Buck, Farmer, Cherokee; Kathy Campbell, Democratic Activist, Tulsa; Jenny Beth Caraway, Pushmataha County Treasurer, Antlers; Barbara Gilbertson, Rancher, McAlester; Kevin Hammack, Democratic Activist and Member TWU Local 514, Broken Arrow; Reno Hammond, Business Manager, Laborers' Local 107 and AR/OK District Council, Tulsa; Taylor Hembree, Vice President, Farmers Union Local 306, Tonkawa; Somelea Jackson, TU Young Democrat, Tulsa; Tom Kennedy, Farmer, Salt Fork; Gary Ketchum, Secretary-Treasurer, Teamsters Local 523, Tulsa; Shawn Kramer, Business Owner, Henryetta; Randy McDonald, President TWU Local 514, Skiatook; Larry McFarland, Democratic Activist, Poteau; Northeastern Oklahoma Labor Council, Tulsa; Mike Peterson, Rancher, Marland; Scott Powders, Asst. Training Coordinator, IUOE Local 2, Henryetta; Norman Rogers, Civic Leader, Henryetta; Denise Sumpter, Democratic Activist, Wister

Kerry would increase military force

Sen. John Kerry said that he would increase the military force by 40,000 more troops to meet our nation’s commitment around the world. Kerry’s remark, made in his foreign policy speech yesterday, is the headline for the Associated Press today. Kerry’s best line of his speech was:

Dean embraces a "'Simon Says' foreign policy where America only moves if others move first," Kerry said. "That is just as wrong as George Bush's policy of school yard taunts and cowboy swagger."

The Des Moines Register coverage of Kerry’s speech emphasized how Kerry was trying to stress his military and foreign affairs credentials:

Kerry stepped up his attack on Dean on Tuesday, arguing that the former Vermont governor is unfit to be president because he dismissed Saddam's capture Saturday as unlikely to improve U.S. safety.

"Those who believe today that we are not safer with his capture don't have the judgment to be president or the credibility to be president of the United States," Kerry said in a speech at Drake University in Des Moines

Kerry: cargo inspections

Sen. John Kerry will call for tougher inspections of cargo in a speech at Portsmouth Harbor. The Associate Press reports that he will offer the following statement:

"We screen millions of shoes in airports every day, but less than 4 percent of the 21,000 enormous shipping containers that arrive America's ports. Any one of them could have a biological, chemical or nuclear weapon inside," he said. "With 95 percent of all our trade from outside this continent coming to us by sea, the question isn't if we can afford to take action on port security. The question is if we can afford not to."

Kerry will also promise to remove potential bomb-making material entirely from the world's most vulnerable sites within four years, work with other countries to track existing nuclear weapons, and deter the development of chemical and biological arsenals. A presidential coordinator would be in charge of making sure all that gets done.

Clark bungled Kosovo

The Washington Post covers the criticism of Wesley Clark’s handling of the War in Kosovo. The article points out that Clark made fundamental errors in judgment concerning the conduct of the bombing campaign:

Clark and others at NATO headquarters had to scramble because they assumed, in error, that Milosevic would capitulate after a few days of bombing. Rand called this a "misjudgment of near-blunder proportions that came close to saddling the United States and NATO with a costly and embarrassing failure."

"We called this one absolutely wrong," Navy Adm. James O. Ellis Jr., then NATO's commander in southern Europe, said in a postwar briefing to military officials. That "affected much of what followed: . . . lack of coherent campaign planning . . . [and] the race to find suitable targets."

The article covers a great deal of Clark’s lack of cohesion and morale with his superiors. However, the most derisive aspect were the post analysis that the military always does regarding military action -- especially the Rand analysis:

But Rand's Air Force report, written by analyst Benjamin Lambeth, said "NATO's leaders . . . had little to congratulate themselves about, when it came to the way in which the air war was planned and carried out." A second Rand report, prepared by a team of Army analysts, concurred that "problems abounded during the NATO military operation," citing in particular the absence of "any significant military planning" for a sustained conflict.

Clark ‘intemperate’

Jay Nordlinger, in his Impromptus column on the National Review Online (NationalReview.com), points to a Wesley Clark characteristic that is becoming well known -- his intemperate personality:

"When the story of overcharging for gas arose, Wesley Clark said the following: that the president is 'more concerned about the success of Halliburton than having a success strategy in Iraq.'

"Now, I'm not naive about politics — I know that rhetoric is excessive in campaigns. But even so, shouldn't something like this Clark statement be disqualifying? I mean, how is it possible to take seriously a man who says that Bush is 'more concerned about the success of Halliburton than having a success strategy in Iraq'? That amounts to a charge of treason. It is also demented."

Clark: get bin Laden

Democratic presidential candidate Wesley Clark said Tuesday it is time to end the search for weapons of mass destruction in Iraq and use the intelligence agents and U.S. troops there to find Osama bin Laden instead. According to an Associated Press story, Clark continued his charges that there was no imminent threat for the war in Iraq:

"We didn't have to take the detour in Iraq," Clark said at Logan International Airport, where he arrived after two days of closed testimony in the Netherlands at the war crimes trial of former Serbian leader Slobodan Milosevic.

 "There's no evidence to indicate there was an imminent threat there to the United States. But having gone in there, we had to succeed," he said.

Clark e-mailed potential campaign donors, trying to raise $1 million by capitalizing on his high profile testimony at The Hague.

Clark Bush-bashing

Wesley Clark bashed President Bush for signing the American Dream Downpayment Act -- a bill aimed at increasing minority home ownership in America. I strongly agree with the goals of this bill.

“We need to work harder to ensure that more Americans can buy homes and that all Americans have access to safe and affordable housing. That's why today, I'm calling on President Bush to do more than just sign the American Dream Downpayment Act into law. I'm calling on him to fully fund this Act so that a safe home isn't just an American dream, but an American reality.

“Unfortunately, for the past three years, when it comes to homeownership, the Bush Administration has been all rhetoric, and few results. While three-quarters of non-minority Americans own their homes, fewer than half of all African Americans and Hispanics do.

“And their record has been no better when it comes to safe and affordable housing. President Bush has cut nearly $2.5 billion in public housing funding. He has attempted to eliminate the HOPE VI program - a program that is crucial for the revitalization of our neighborhoods. And he has refused to fully fund Section 8 housing vouchers which so many elderly, disabled, and low-income working Americans depend on to pay for their housing.

“This is absolutely unacceptable. We need a comprehensive housing policy in America. Safe and affordable housing is the key to a strong economy and strong families. As President, I will work to make the dream of home ownership a reality for all Americans. I will expand the Low Income Housing Tax Credit, fully fund HOPE VI, and expand Section 8 vouchers. Because all Americans deserve a place to call home,” Clark said in a prepared statement.

Edwards visits Iowa’s 99 counties

Sen. John Edwards is duplicating Howard Dean’s feat of campaigning in all of Iowa’s 99 counties. Several weeks ago Howard Dean visited Howard County to use a play on his first name in visiting the 99th county. Now, it looks as if Edwards will use Howard County as his last stop in his 99 county tours as well.

Edwards’ campaign stated that on Friday, December 19, 2003, North Carolina Senator John Edwards will be a guest on Iowa Public Television’s show, “Iowa Press.” He will meet with Democratic activists in Pocahontas, Palo Alto, O’Brien, Sioux, Lyon, Osceola, and Emmet counties on Saturday, December 20, 2003. Edwards will campaign in Mitchell County and in the 99th county he has visited this year, Howard, on Sunday, December 21, 2003.

Edwards’ plan to travel to every county in Iowa highlights his commitment to rural communities. A native of Robbins, North Carolina, Edwards will celebrate the milestone of visiting all of Iowa’s 99 counties at a large community gathering with supporters in Robins, Iowa on the afternoon of Sunday, December 22, 2003.

Edwards calls Bush cynical

Senator John Edwards joined the name-calling and criticism of President Bush signing the "American Dream Downpayment Act." Edwards called the signing a staging and cynical photo op.

"Millions of Americans are struggling with big mortgage payments, but this bill can help only a tiny fraction of them," Edwards said. "If we really want to increase home ownership, we should cancel President Bush's tax cuts for the wealthy, and use a small portion of the savings to create a new tax credit for struggling families to afford their first home."

Edwards has made helping working families buy a first home and save for the future a cornerstone of his presidential campaign. His American Dream Tax Credit will offer a matching tax credit of up to $5,000 to help millions of families cover a down payment on a first home. He has also proposed tax cuts for working families who save and invest, including matching savings accounts for retirement and dividend and capital gains tax cuts for 95 percent of Americans.

Ban Halliburton

Lieberman, D-Conn. wrote Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld that federal contractors are required under the law to have "a satisfactory record of integrity and business ethics."

"Based on current and past allegations against Halliburton, there needs to be a careful review of whether the company has complied with this important requirement," Lieberman wrote.

Lieberman’s fundraising

Lieberman staffers have volunteered to defer paychecks for the month of January. Campaign director Craig Smith asked staffers if they'd be willing to make the sacrifice, and spokesperson Jano Cabrera (who went without pay once or twice while working for Gore) said, "We're in the homestretch, making use of the resources that we have to be as competitive as possible in January." Since last fundraising quarter, Scott says, the campaign has raised $11 million total, placing Lieberman behind five of his rivals in funds raised. They expect to receive around $4 million in matching funds.

The Great Des Moines Register Debate

Seven of the nine Democratic candidates for the 2004 presidential nomination plan to participate in The Des Moines Register's debate, scheduled for Jan. 4 at 2 p.m. The debate is a tradition of the Iowa Caucuses and marks the milestone of the big push to the Jan 19 caucus.

Candidates who have accepted the newspaper's invitation to participate are former Illinois Sen. Carol Moseley Braun, former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean, North Carolina Sen. John Edwards, Rep. Dick Gephardt of Missouri, Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry, Rep. Dennis Kucinich of Ohio and Connecticut Sen. Joe Lieberman.

NY, NY

The Boston Globe reports that the NY Republican convention is going to outpace the Democrats in Boston:

Remember that theater in the round idea Democrats want for their July convention? The Republicans' stage may rotate. And while the Democrats want an event at Fenway Park, the Republicans may use the Statue of Liberty.

Poll watching

The CBS NY Times poll shows vast improvement in President Bush’s numbers. Poll numbers ending Dec. 15 had Bush approval rating at 45% and disapproval at 47%. After the capture of Hussein the numbers were approve 52% and disapprove 38%. The question of whether the war was going well went from 47% to 64%.

The Wall Street Journal/NBC poll taken Saturday pegged Bush's approval rating at 52%. When a similar number of people were surveyed Sunday, the day Saddam Hussein's arrest was made public, Bush's rating had soared to 58%.

Americans said that the war in Iraq has made the United States more secure by a 62%-to-32% margin. In September, only 52% thought the war in Iraq had made the U.S. safer. This is in contrast to Dean’s statement that Saddam's capture did not make America safer.

The country believes by a 76% margin that we are likely to succeed in Iraq, up from 72% before the capture.

Dean was favored for the party's nomination before and after Saddam's capture by at least 25% of Democrats. That was more than double the take for either Wesley Clark or Rep. Dick Gephardt, Dean's two closest rivals.

* ON THE BUSH BEAT:

Knee problems

White House spokesman Scott McClellan told reporters traveling to North Carolina on Wednesday the president would undergo the MRI exams on both knees during a previously scheduled visit to Walter Reed Medical Center to meet with wounded U.S. troops. Asked if Bush would be willing to undergo surgery before the election next November, McClellan said, "Let's let the MRI take place."

* THE CLINTON COMEDIES:

Hillary’s foreign policy speech

Hillary Clinton, although not a candidate for President, gave the following foreign policy address to the NY Council on Foreign Relations:

You know, it is a great opportunity for me here in New York, before this prestigious body, to speak about where we find ourselves with respect to foreign policy. And I think it's appropriate to put it into the context of a quote that I agree with, that was made by the former council president, Leslie Gelb, who said that the purpose of the Council on Foreign Relations, as an organization, is to promote American internationalism based on American interests.

We stand at a point in time where we are now in the process of redefining both American internationalism and American interests. That probably would have been inevitable, because the process of adjusting to the changes at the end of the Cold War, the extraordinary advances in technology and globalization, the spread of so many problems globally, most prominently terrorism, would certainly have brought that about.

But it is also true that given our reaction to the events of September the 11th and to our missions in Afghanistan and Iraq and other problems that we face around the world, what was a description by Leslie Gelb has become an imperative, and an imperative not just for those in elected office, not just in the administration or the Congress, but, I would argue, for a much broader debate amongst our citizenry. There's a role for the private sector to play that I think has been neglected over the last several years. There's a role, certainly, for academia and not-for-profit organizations. There's a role for every segment of our society.

As we look out around the world and attempt to define internationalism and American interests, we certainly have our work cut out for us. But it is a timely discussion and one that we ignore at our peril.

When we were attacked on September the 11th and when we lost nearly 3,000 men, women and children, for many Americans, that was also a loss of innocence and a sense of invulnerability. I remain absolutely confident in our eventual victory over the forces of terror, but I also believe that we have our work cut out for us and that what we face is a long-term challenge that not only is external but internal, as we define who we are, what our values should be in the face of this new threat.

It is true that I am confident about the outcome, but I worry about the cost. I worry about the price being paid by young men and women in uniform fighting in difficult terrain. I worry about our brave first responders, who we will once again expect to answer the call of duty should we face another attack on our shores. And I worry about the fear that I see among so many of our citizens, a fear that is understandable but one which, unfortunately, may very well undermine the values that have made us so strong, so optimistic, for so long.

As you know, I recently returned from places where Americans are risking their lives. Foremost are military forces, but also civilians who have answered the call of duty as well. Hundreds have been killed and thousands grievously injured. With my colleague on the Senate Armed Services Committee, Jack Reed of Rhode Island, we were privileged to spend Thanksgiving with our troops in Afghanistan and then go on to Iraq. I was especially pleased that I could visit the 10th Mountain Division soldiers who are on the front lines in Afghanistan and could bring over 3,000 letters from school children here in New York expressing their thanks and telling the soldiers what it meant to them that they were there defending their freedom as well.

I know that a short trip such as the one that I took is only a snapshot, but it is a snapshot that both confirmed much of what I already believed and had learned from the countless briefings and other committee work and much of the attention that has been focused on Iraq and Afghanistan, but it also opened my eyes and led me to think a little bit differently about some of what we should be doing.

It is essential that we win this war against these borderless terrorists, but it is, I believe, critical that we once again recommit ourselves to that American internationalism that I mentioned in the beginning. For more than a half a century, we know that we prospered because of a bipartisan consensus on defense and foreign policy. We must do more than return to that sensible, cooperative approach. I think we should be in the midst of working to reform the institutions and alliances that we historically have been part of, revamping agreements that we reached in the past that may no longer be as timely and effective as we would hope, working and examining relationships around the world not because it's a good thing to do, not because it worked in the 20th century, but because it remains as essential today as it was in the past in order to meet the 21st (sic) challenges of terror and the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction.

We obviously need to build a world with more friends and fewer terrorists. The question is, how do we do that? Everyone agrees on the goal, but what are the strategies most likely to result in success?

Turning to Iraq, yesterday was a good day. I was thrilled that Saddam Hussein had finally been captured. Like many of you, I was glued to the television and the radio as I went about my daily business. We owe a great debt of gratitude to our troops, to the president, to our intelligence services, to all who had a hand in apprehending Saddam. Now he will be brought to justice, and we hope that the prospects for peace and stability in Iraq will improve.

I was especially pleased that the capture was led by the 4th Infantry Division, whom I visited in Kirkuk and had a a briefing from the commander, General Odierno, and during that briefing was given some insights into the efforts to apprehend Saddam. And it's very good news indeed that they have come to fruition.

This moment, however, cannot be just about congratulating ourselves and the Iraqi people for this capture. It should be a moment where we step back and consider how now to go forward. What is it we can do today, based on the circumstances of yesterday, that will strengthen our hand and move the Iraqis closer to a time when they can have self-government and create a stable, free, democratic Iraq?

I was one who supported giving President Bush the authority, if necessary, to use force against Saddam Hussein. I believe that that was the right vote. I have had many disputes and disagreements with the administration over how that authority has been used, but I stand by the vote to provide the authority because I think it was a necessary step in order to maximize the outcome that did occur in the Security Council with the unanimous vote to send in inspectors. And I also knew that our military forces would be successful. But what we did not appreciate fully and what the administration was unprepared for was what would happen the day after.

It has been a continuing theme of my criticism and others that we would be further along, we would have more legitimacy, we would diminish the opposition and resentment that is fueling whatever remains of the insurgency if we had been willing to move to internationalize our presence and further action in Iraq. I believe that today. And in fact, I think that we now have a new opportunity for the administration to do just that.

We could, if the administration were to be so inclined, open the door to a stronger and wider coalition that would help us rebuild and safeguard Iraq and provide a transition to self-government. As President Bush said in his remarks to the nation yesterday, the capture of Saddam, while extremely important, does not signal the end of this conflict. The violence is likely to continue. It's unclear whether it will spike up or whether it will diminish, but we know it will remain, and therefore, all Americans and international aid workers and Iraqis remain at risk.

So what could we do to try to take advantage of this moment in time? Well, I have both some suggestions and some questions. First, I am worried about the administration's announced plans to transfer sovereignty to the Iraqis by next July, the way that those plans have been announced and how they would proceed. The process coincides with the first major troop rotation, meaning that thousands of seasoned American forces will be withdrawing precisely during the time of great domestic sensitivity and even perhaps increased peril. That could be a recipe for disaster.

I and others have questioned the confluence of those two events, and having been on the ground, briefed by not just the generals but talking with colonels and captains and sergeants and privates, it is clear that much of the positive work that has been done in Iraq has been done by our military forces. They have been rebuilding the schools. They have been reopening the hospitals. They have been creating the relationships on the ground with Iraqis. Sitting in a meeting with the members of local governing councils in Kirkuk, it was abundantly clear that their primary relationship is with the military forces that are based there.

And so we not only create the inevitable dislocation that occurs when you're moving thousands of men, women and equipment, but also the destruction of those relationships, that trust that is so hard to build up over time.

So it is clear to me that we are going to have a lot of concerns that have to be addressed if this turnover is to occur smoothly. It would be difficult enough, but we also have no idea how the local people in the various parts of Iraq are going to react to this, because the plan laid out by the administration does not really go to an immediate transfer of political power, but a staging, through a caucus system, to create some kind of legitimate governance structure that can do the constitution and then oversee elections.

That was not at all clear to the people with whom I met in Kirkuk. They had the idea that come June or July, they would be in charge in Kirkuk and that they would have responsibility. And they were anxious to wield it, because they had felt particularly aggrieved over the many years of Saddam's rule, which focused often most harshly on the Kirkuk area.

It would be timely and, I think, appropriate to now create a bridge using international support and legitimacy, similarly to what we did in Bosnia and Kosovo. The timing would be appropriate. The American military would still be in charge and responsible for security, but we could begin to cede some of the hard political decision-making to an international presence.

Now as we look at the election process that is contemplated, Ambassador Bremer told Senator Reed and myself that he would very much like the United Nations to monitor the election process. I agree with that. But it will be very difficult to convince the United Nations to come in to help monitor an election process that it has nothing to do with setting up or creating the means of implementing. I can't believe that we could expect the United Nations to participate without some more authority and involvement. But now would be the time to try to create those conditions.

There are many other issues about our presence in Iraq and the transition that we are attempting to bring about. Among them are the continuing challenges that the Iraqi Civil Defense Force, the police force and the army face.

The Iraqi Civil Defense Force received high marks from both the civilian and military Americans on the ground. They're beginning to do quite a good job patrolling with Americans, as I saw in Kirkuk. But they need more training, they need vehicles, they need uniforms, they need communications equipment. We are further behind with respect to the Iraqi army, but again we can improve conditions there by increasing the pay and the prestige in order to stop the widespread resignation -- as high as 20 percent -- that is occurring.

We also have to reconsider including Ba'athists who were Ba'athists in name only in positions of responsibility, such as teaching and the medical profession. When we disbanded the army, we disbanded the army of teachers and doctors and others who were compelled, in many instances, to join the party in order to practice their profession and continue their livelihood in Iraq under Saddam.

We are also going to be facing a tremendous movement of people throughout Iraq with the Hajj in late January and early February. There is a pent-up desire among many Iraqis to go to Mecca. So we will have thousands, if not millions, of people on the roads, moving across the country. We will also probably have people coming from Syria and Jordan and elsewhere. There is no way that I can imagine we could prevent that, but providing for the security that will be necessary during this period is an enormous undertaking. And it is only slightly before the date that the massive transfer and movement of our own troops take place. So first, dealing with the Hajj, and then secondly, dealing with our own troops, in mass numbers on the road in their equipment, poses another significant security challenge because, of course, as some troops are moving out, the other troops haven't yet come in. So we're going to be in a transition there, as well.

So the question that I was asked most frequently when I returned was, well, are you optimistic or pessimistic, and I have to confess that my answer is neither. I am both a little optimistic and a little pessimistic, but what I'm trying to do is be realistic about where we are and what we need to be successful. We have no option but to stay involved and committed.

To that end, I applauded both Secretaries Powell and Rumsfeld for their recent trip to NATO to persuade NATO to become involved in Iraq. This may be somewhat tardy, but it is very welcome. Unfortunately, there has not been a very positive response from NATO as of yet. At this point, I think, NATO -- and indeed, non-NATO allies -- have as much of a stake in the success of Iraq as we do. And therefore, they should be looking to work with the administration to create the opportunities that they can then pursue to become more involved in Iraq. It would be extremely important and it would remove the taint of this being an American occupation.

Secondly, I would strongly recommend we create some kind of organization -- call it what you will; the Iraq Reconstruction and Stabilization Authority, or whatever name is chosen. It could include a proper role for NATO and for the U.N., which would replace the Coalition Provisional Authority, which would add both military and civilian resources so that this was not just an American occupation, and would provide more flexibility for us in achieving the timetable at whatever speed is appropriate to transfer sovereignty to the Iraqis.

Let me turn now to Afghanistan, a place I believe we have not paid sufficient attention to in recent months. And by "we," I refer to all of us -- citizens, the media, elected officials, the administration. And this point was crystalized for me when I was greeted by a soldier saying, "Well, senators, welcome to the forgotten front line of the war against terror."

Over the course of this past year, we've heard so much about Iraq, which is understandable, and so little about Afghanistan, which is not. Afghanistan, I don't need to remind New Yorkers or any Americans, is the place where September 11th was conceived and implemented. It was and still is the place where al Qaeda was based, where its terrorists were trained, where Osama bin Laden lives, there and across the border in Pakistan.

We went in fast and strong in 2001, toppling the Taliban and scattering al Qaeda, and we made tremendous progress in helping a new government form. But too soon, the eyes of the administration moved from Kabul to Baghdad and we began pulling out resources -- troops, intelligence -- and shifting them to Iraq. We reduced our troop commitment substantially. In fact, we had more law enforcement personnel on duty in Salt Lake City for the 2002 Olympics than we have soldiers in all of Afghanistan today.

Now, forgetting Afghanistan seems to come easy to us. We've done it before, leaving a vacuum after a regime was toppled. That was 1989. And after years of helping and equipping and financing Afghan and foreign rebels that were supported by Arab Mujaheddin whom we essentially created -- such as Osama bin Laden -- to combat the Soviet occupiers, we pulled back. After the Soviets left, we washed our hands and we walked away. And we know the results. Having failed to leverage whatever influence we might have had in 1989, by the mid- 1990s, we had no influence on the Taliban, and less-than-useful influence with Pakistan, who had been the primary sponsor of the Taliban.

Now, some of us spoke out about the excesses of the Taliban regime, especially its treatment of women, and the Clinton administration did attempt, through military action with missiles, to ferret out bin Laden and his training camps. In the years that followed, the government looked for efforts, covert and overt, to try to hit bin Laden, but he was, as he is today, an elusive enemy.

September 11th gave us the opportunity as well as the obligation to do what there had been no domestic or international consensus to do before we were attacked on our own shores: to go into Afghanistan and to try to root out both the Taliban and al Qaeda. We cannot afford to make the same mistake that we made in 1989, yet I fear we might unless we ramp up our involvement in this forgotten front-line land in the war against terror.

First, here we have a commitment from NATO. We were given that commitment, and after some back and forth with the administration, it has been decided hat NATO will expand its commitment of troops and equipment. But it has not yet happened. When we were in Kabul, we couldn't even find anybody in the command structure of NATO with whom to speak. When Secretaries Powell and Rumsfeld went to NATO to request assistance with respect to Iraq, Lord Robertson responded, "Well, first we have to fulfill our commitment in Afghanistan." I could not agree more. There is a structure in Afghanistan. We have troops of many nations, including from those that did not support us in Iraq, most notably France and Germany, and we should make sure that the Article 5 commitment is fulfilled in Afghanistan.

Second, we have to do more along the Afghan-Pakistan border. And we were reminded yesterday, with the assassination attempt on President Musharraf, how difficult that effort to control that border remains. We met with President Musharraf at around midnight on Thanksgiving night, after coming from our visits in Kabul, Bagram and Kandahar. And he is a man in a very difficult position. He has been a very vocal and helpful ally to the United States in the war against terror. He has for the first time attempted to put troops into the tribal areas along the border in Pakistan. But he faces considerable risks at moving more effectively against the Taliban and the al Qaeda. We have to support him in every way that we possibly can, and we have to make clear that we need and expect that support.

We know that new training camps have sprung up across the border in Pakistan. We know that new jihadists are being recruited on a regular basis. We know that the madrassas, which become the not only educational facility but the indoctrination tool for between 600,000 and 700,000 young men in Pakistan, are a rich breeding ground for future terrorists.

(Short audio break) ...support President Musharraf is not just with more military equipment, as important as that may be and as much as he may want it, but we should be doing more to help him deal with the educational shortcomings in Pakistan that drive families to turn their young boys over to madrassas. There are no other schools in many of these areas. And because it is a dangerous and largely ungovernable area, it is difficult to recruit teachers and to put in the equipment, the curriculum that could provide an alternative to the indoctrination of the madrassas.

I spoke about that with President Musharraf. He is well aware of it. They are attempting to address it. But this is a rich and important potential area of cooperation not just for the United States but for the larger world community.

Third, we have to continue our close efforts with President Karzai and the United Nations to assure that the constitutional loya jirga that is going on as we speak, and then the elections that are planned to follow in June or July, will stay on track and will provide a real means for the Afghan people to express their newly found freedom and to create a governing structure that will try to unify this disparate land.

I'm heartened by the news that the loya jirga has commenced, but the news reports that I've seen have been also very touching to me because some of the officials running the loya jirga have said, "Well, the delegates came together and all they wanted to talk about was when will we get a new school, when will we get a new health clinic, how will we get some help for the people who have no money and no means for income?" You cannot proceed, in my opinion, on just the track of electoral, constitutional, governmental effort. There has to be a comparable parallel track that tries to provide tangible results for the Afghan people about the improvements in their lives.

I suggested to President Karzai that he could perhaps think about adopting some signature issue that would send a clear signal to all Afghans, whether they be Tajik or Pashtun or Uzbek or whatever, that their president was thinking about them and where they lived and the challenges they faced. Because of my strong conviction that attention paid to the role and development of women is the most effective investment one can make, I suggested an effort to try to improve maternal health.

You know, women have always been at the fulcrum of Afghani politics and reaction. It happened in the early part of the 20th century, when the kings of Afghanistan attempted to modernize Afghanistan and pick as one of the principal objectives the more fully participating role of women. And that caused a backlash, which led to all kinds of reaction in the tribal areas. One of the reasons why we were able to marshal the Mujaheddin and the warlords against the Soviets is because the Soviets tried to provide more opportunities for women.

So women's roles is a critical point as to whether there can be a stable, free, democratic Afghanistan. If we were to focus on improving maternal health, that is an objective that is not in any way contradictory to the concerns of the most traditional, as well as the hopes of the most modern Afghans.

I was told that the hospital in Kabul delivers 200 babies a day. That is an astonishing number. And they do it in very difficult circumstances. We could cut in half the maternal death rate in Afghanistan, which is the highest in the world, with relatively little money.

The next step would be more difficult and expensive, but to clearly send a signal that the United States, President Karzai, all of us around the world wish the people of Afghanistan, particularly the mothers of Afghanistan, well would be a political and strategic statement, as well as a humanitarian one. Afghans need better schools, they need more health clinics, and they're expressing that at the loya jirga.

Finally, we have to address the drug problem in Afghanistan. The country produces more opium than any place in the world -- some for export and some, unfortunately, for increasing use right there in Afghanistan.

The consequences are bad all the way around -- for users, wherever they might be; for those who will contract HIV from sharing needles; and for the stability of the Afghan government, because of the role that the warlords and the drug traffickers play in obtaining the results of selling the opium and then having money flow to terrorists and criminal cartels.

There are many other issues of concern that were raised with us: the imbalance of Pashtuns and Tajiks in the army, and the lack of Pashtuns in the government; the touchy relationship between India and Pakistan and Afghanistan, which cannot be permitted to become another proxy for their ongoing conflict.

But the overriding immediate objective of our foreign policy must be to significantly step up our military engagement, preferably through greater involvement from NATO, and then ramp up our domestic involvement by funding education and health care, and putting in place an aggressive anti-drug strategy. We simply cannot afford to let Afghanistan slip once again into chaos and become a haven for terrorists and drug lords and criminals.

Finally, with regard to both Iraq and Afghanistan, we need more of something that is often in short supply here in our country: patience. I was struck, during our briefing at the embassy in Kabul, by a comment made by one of our U.S. aid workers, who had recently returned from the Southeast and had met with a number of former Taliban, so-called former Taliban. And one of these former Taliban said, "Americans may have all the watches, but we have all the time." I think it's a lesson that we forget at our peril. This will not be an easy undertaking. It will require patience, and it will require the continuing support of the American people.

I was struck, in my briefing with Ambassador Bremer -- his frequent reference to the American occupation in Germany. I think we've all heard Secretary Rumsfeld, Secretary Wolfowitz and others refer to the German example. There certainly are lessons to be learned from that, and in some respects we have actually exceeded the time line in place there. The banking system is further along than it was at the time in the post-World War II era in Germany. There is a central bank that's up and going, to some extent.

But it took 10 years to create a stable, sovereign government, and we still have troops in Germany, as we do in Japan, as we do in South Korea, as we do in Bosnia, as we do in Kosovo. So the idea that we can somehow bring about dramatic transformational change in either a short period of time or with a relatively limited financial commitment is contradicted by our own history. And therefore we have not only the need for patience but a sense that we are going to be involved over the long run, or we will not guarantee or create the conditions for potential success.

There are a lot of lessons that perhaps we can learn from already looking back at Iraq and Afghanistan. The overriding lesson I take away is the need for international support. And that has become almost a mantra, and people say it, and no one's quite sure what it means, but everyone keeps saying it. But to me, it is clear that just as we were reminded with the quote that I recited from Leslie Gelb that our interests are often embedded in American internationalism, I think have seen that clearly.

The irony is that while the administration was quite dismissive of broader international support before the war in Iraq and until relatively recently, the recent moves to try to obtain NATO support, the appointment of James Baker signal without [inaudible] broaden the international involvement. That certainly seems appropriate, and not just because it is the right thing to do, but because it is the smart thing to do. It is smart to have more people involved. It is smart to move toward multilateralism and anyway from unilateralism. It is smart to look at how we can get more people to have an ownership and participation interest in what we do.

And of course, that has been undermined in this last week by the by the administration's announcement, very publicly, that they were going to be cutting allies out of reconstruction contracts. Well, I think all of us can agree that American firms should be given preference. The extent of our role in toppling and capturing Saddam Hussein, the risks and losses incurred by our troops and our civilians, the hefty contribution of our taxpayers, the domestic economic situation that we face all argue for preference for American firms.

But the idea of so publicly prohibiting other nations from competition is unnecessarily antagonistic and may hinder our ability to gain support for such causes as debt relief and the fulfillment of financial commitments that were made at the Madrid conference. We already have a profound problem with how we are perceived today in the world, including among many of our traditional allies with whom we have a lot of shared values in common. And I have to add that no-bid contracts to the likes of Halliburton here at home does not help our government's image abroad, nor when it appears that taxpayers may be disadvantaged does it help our government's image at home, either.

And finally, let me just end with a few remarks about what we need to do to maintain domestic support for the patience that is required and the commitment that we've undertaken, since failure is not an option. It is extremely important that the administration level with the American people about the costs and the sacrifices that will be required in Afghanistan, in Iraq and in the ongoing war against terror.

Many of my colleagues on both sides of the aisle have urged that the administration not only level with the American people but begin to talk about sharing sacrifice for this ongoing commitment. The lack of call, the absence of a call to sacrifice and to share the burden has been quite telling. And compared with other points of danger and risk in our history, it stands alone. We have gone forward with not only huge tax cuts for the wealthiest among us -- now, of course, since my husband's making money, we're in that category -- (laughter) -- so I certainly am aware of it and the implications -- but the extraordinary deficit that we have now accumulated of a half a trillion dollars suggests that we are not serious about engendering and maintaining domestic support.

One cannot continue to expect the American people to postpone fixing up their own schools and hospitals or foregoing the kind of infrastructure improvements that are called for, in sewer systems and water treatment systems and the like, or continue to do less than is necessary in homeland security to protect our own citizens, without undermining the support for the long-term commitment in the war against terrorism.

I worry a lot about how difficult it will be in the political arena to stay the course. And I would hope that not only in more transparency and openness and candor with the American people, but in a rhetoric that matches the sacrifice made every day by our men and women in uniform we can begin to create a deep and lasting support for what is necessary to be done to protect ourselves and to spread our values around the world, over however many years it may take.

You know, when we look back on our own history and we think about the leaders who have led in the past and have summoned us to difficult goals, it is a great tribute to the American people that they responded to that call for sacrifice and duty. Now we don't have a draft, and it would be all too easy to begin viewing our military as a mercenary force, somebody else's son and daughter or husband and wife, when, I think it's fair to say, that these are the best of the best of our young people in this generation. And if we don't have those of us who are most able to give being called to, it is very easy not only to be apart from, but turn our backs on, the level of sacrifice that is still required.

We need a tough-minded, muscular foreign and defense policy, one that not only respects our allies and seeks new friends as it strikes at known enemies, but which is understood and supported by the majority of the American people. The consequences of unilateralism, isolationism and overtly expressed preemptive defense, I think, are severe. We will end up with fewer nations, fewer intelligence services and fewer law enforcement personnel internationally helping to protect us against attacks, fewer nations helping to counterattack when we are struck, and less leverage in advancing democracy, freedom, open markets and other values that we believe elevate the people of the world even as they protect our people here at home.

This is not to propound some golden rule of international affairs, because I think it's rooted in the intelligence and the success of the 20th century. The more we throw our weight around, the more we encourage other nations to join with each other as a counterweight. We have a lot of problems besides Iraq and Afghanistan on the horizon. The number one problem remains the spread of weapons of mass destruction and those falling into the hands of either rogue nations or borderless terrorists. And so we have to have a united front of the world that cares about life more than death; that consists of builders instead of destroyers, standing together, fighting together, working together.

It is important that we remember the admonition, more than 40 years ago, of Dwight Eisenhower against arrogance. President Eisenhower said that "the people of the world must avoid becoming a community of dreadful fear and hate, and be, instead, a proud confederation of mutual trust and respect." I think we should listen to such wise counsel from our history, if we are to lead in the 21st century in a way that is keeping with our values and our interests.

We have many, many reasons to work more closely together, but the most important are our children, our future grandchildren, all the children who deserve from this generation of leadership the same commitment to building a safer, more secure world that we inherited from the last generation.

* NATIONAL:

Anti-war demonstration

Anti-war groups announced that they plan to hold the biggest peace rally in the nation’s history just before the Republican convention, according to Reuters:

The coalition called United for Peace and Justice wants to march through Manhattan to Central Park on Aug. 29, the day before the Republican Party meets to nominate President Bush in his reelection effort.

"United for Peace and Justice will be organizing what we believe will be one of the largest demonstrations in this country's history," said organizer Leslie Cagan at a news conference. "We believe it will be in the hundreds of thousands."

McDermott’s fantasy

The Washington Times covers Rep. Jim McDermott’s conspiracy accusation against Bush:

Rep. Jim McDermott of Washington, the Democratic congressman who went to Baghdad last year to say that President Bush would lie to the American people in order to justify war, has now accused the president of timing Saddam Hussein's capture for political ends.

He told a Seattle radio interviewer Monday that American forces could have captured Saddam "a long time ago if they wanted."

Fellow Washington Democrat Rep. Norm Dicks rebuked McDermott for his comments about Saddam's capture.

"With all due respect to my colleague, that is a fantasy," Dicks told the Associated Press. "That just is not right. It's one thing to criticize this administration for having done this war. I mean, that's a fair question. But to criticize them on the capture of Saddam, when it's such a big thing to our troops, is just ridiculous."

 

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