Iowa 2004 presidential primary precinct caucus and caucuses news, reports and information on 2004 Democrat and Republican candidates, campaigns and issues

Iowa Presidential Watch's

IOWA DAILY REPORT
Holding the Democrats accountable today, tomorrow...forever.

Our Mission: to hold the Democrat presidential candidates accountable for their comments and allegations against President George W. Bush, to make citizens aware of false statements or claims by the Democrat candidates, and to defend the Bush Administration and set the record straight when the Democrats make false or misleading statements about the Bush-Republican record.

IPW Daily Report – Sunday, February 29, 2004

* QUOTABLES:

"He's ignored Haiti as much in the same way he's ignored much of the countries in this hemisphere," said Edwards, about President Bush.

“Democrat frontrunner John Kerry is not sure God is on America's side in the war terrorism. Kerry made the startling comments during Sunday's Democrat presidential debate in New York City.” – writes Matt Drudge.

This president always makes decisions late," Kerry said, [the Bush administration] "empowered the insurgents" and made a peaceful solution difficult. "I never would have allowed it to get out of control the way it did."

* TODAY’S OFFERINS:

Dems accuse Bush during latest debate

Edwards is O-U-T!
analysis by Roger Wm. Hughes

Bush launching Ads March 4th

* CANDIDATES:

Dems accuse Bush during latest debate

It was yet another Democratic Presidential debate and yet another Bash Bush performance by the remaining wannabees for the Dem Party nomination.

Second banana John Edwards accused Bush of neglect concerning Haiti:

"He's ignored Haiti as much in the same way he's ignored much of the countries in this hemisphere," said Edwards, a freshman senator from North Carolina.

"The proper thing to do is for America to be part of a U.N. force to secure the country," he said.

Top banana John Kerry said of Bush, “He’s late, as usual.”

But perhaps the biggest bomb of the event was John Kerry’s saying that he wasn’t sure if God was on America’s side concerning the War on Terror: [excerpt from DRUDGE report]

Democrat frontrunner John Kerry is not sure God is on America's side in the war terrorism. Kerry made the startling comments during Sunday's Democrat presidential debate in New York City.

Elizabeth Bumiller of the NEW YORK TIMES asked Kerry: "President Bush has said that freedom and fear have always been at war, and God is not neutral between them. He's made quite clear in his speeches that he feels God is on America's side.

"Is God on America's side?"

KERRY: Well, God will -- look, I think -- I believe in God, but I don't believe, the way President Bush does, in invoking it all the time in that way. I think it is -- we pray that God is on our side, and we pray hard. And God has been on our side through most of our existence.

Beyond that, the debate (sponsored by CBS and The New York Times) featured the usual free-trade issue, Washington Insider vs. The Real World rhetoric and fiscal responsibility.

Looming over the event was Super Tuesday and the 1151 delegates yet to be awarded by those ten states. According to an Associated Press article, Edwards has ‘virtually ceded four New England states to Kerry and stands little chance of victory in the biggest battlegrounds, New York and California, or Maryland.’ The remaining states of Georgia, Ohio and Minnesota have been Edwards’ main focus of campaigning, though he is behind in those polls as well.

A more Southern-friendly March 9th date is on the horizon for Edwards with four states holding primaries on that day. But Edwards first has to survive Super Tuesday/March 2nd.

The AP article referenced Dem Party chairman Terry McAuliffe’s hope that the nominee would gell soon. Reports are that Bush is due to launch a massive ad campaign beginning March 4th. McAuliffe can’t counter that unless the nominee is clear:

”At some point, we need to be unified,” said McAuliffe.

Edwards is O-U-T!
analysis by Roger Wm. Hughes

Sen. John Edwards continues to act like there is a possibility of winning his party’s nomination when there isn’t one. His Party Chairman Terry McAuliffe knows that it is over and has set the March 9 elections as the last day for the Edwards campaign. That is a gift from McAuliffe to Edwards, given the fact that all evidence indicates it is over now. Edwards has little prospect of winning any states on this Tuesday’s Super Primary date -- and if he does win two, it doesn’t matter.

Edwards campaign’s failing is in waging a campaign of class warfare. He has relied on his childhood memories of his father working in the South Carolina mills to soften his populist appeal. Frequently, the Edwards campaign has gathered laid-off workers, telling them he remembers his own father being laid off from his job. He then goes on to incite hatred against the rich by dividing the nation into two Americas -- one of rich and poor.

In Edwards’ campaign of division, he has limited his campaign’s appeal. A campaign of division is by its nature an insurgency campaign. This is not unlike the Howard Dean campaign, but with more manners.

The limiting factor of all campaigns of division is that its first division must provide you with a majority. In other words, the ‘us’ must be greater than the ‘them.’

Edwards’ failing has also been in not providing a reason why he is a better choice than Sen. John Kerry. His choice of trying to make that point by being the most polite amongst the three gang fighters of Rep. Dick Gephardt, Howard Dean and John Kerry prevented him from raising the negatives on Kerry later.

In today’s debate in N.Y., Edwards tried to bring to the fore the differences of Kerry’s wealthy class and Washington insider status, but it’s a case of too little too late. The race is over and the Democrats are already hearing “Hail to the Chief” being played for Kerry.

An example of why Edwards’ attempt is too little too late is this exchange between he and Kerry:

"Do you believe we're going to change this country out of Washington, D.C.?" Edwards asked.

"Yes, because that's where the Congress of the United States is, and that's where 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue is," Kerry said. "And the answer is, we're going to need a president who has the experience and the proven ability -- proven ability -- to be able to stand up and take on tough fights."

Edwards tried to hit Kerry on trade, as well, by attacking Kerry’s proposal to have a 120 day review of trade pacts:

"What you're going to say to a family that's lost their job because of bad trade agreements is 'Don't worry, we've got a Washington committee that's studying this for you," said Edwards.

Kerry simply deflected the question by saying Edwards was misrepresenting him.

Few understood that the nature of the Democrats’ hatred of President Bush would result in a rush to judgment in picking their party’s nominee. Not even Kerry, who chose Iowa in order to revitalize his campaign in New Hampshire, understood the full implications of making his push in Iowa to frontload his momentum to the nomination. Still, it has had the effect of leaving everyone else except for Edwards in the dust. Edwards’ longevity comes from placing number two in the results.

Most of Edwards’ supporters at this point are hoping for the number two spot on the ticket. Edwards’ insistence that he is still viable to reach the goal of being the nominee is beginning to hurt his VP chances. Not because it takes him out of Kerry’s consideration, but because anyone having such faulty judgment shouldn’t be allowed anywhere near the Presidency.

.

* BUSH BEAT:

Bush launching Ads March 4th

President Bush is launching a $4.5 million dollar ad buy this Thursday, March 4, with television ads on the Fox News Channel getting a reported 50% of that buy. According to an AP story, it’s the first substantial cable channel ad buy by a presidential campaign. Bush’s campaign started purchasing airtime last Friday, with purchases in 50 markets and 17 states.

The article also reveals Bush’s ads will be airing during the 24-hour news networks, Fox Sports Net (yes, most slotted during NASCAR events). Bush TV ads will also show on CNN, MSNBC, CNBC and expectations are that there will be buys on ESPN, the Golf Channel, too. And what about other cable channels? Supposedly, ad rates were looked into for the Home and Garden and the History Channel.

So, what are the Bush ads about? Bush's "steady leadership in changing and dangerous times."

The AP article also pulled out some political analysts, who deduced:

Political analysts say advertising through cable TV allows the campaign to target its advertising to specific constituencies and be on the air everywhere, including in states that may not be in play in the election.

"It's a fairly efficient way to engage voters without having to cherry-pick states," said Evan Tracey, president of TNS Media Intelligence/Campaign Media Analysis Group, which tracks ad spending.

Bush-Cheney advisers say polling shows that Republicans watch less broadcast TV than Democrats, which suggests that the best way to reach the GOP base is to target cable networks with high Republican viewership.

Addressing the growing importance of the Hispanic vote, Bush’s campaign also purchased airtime for ads on two Spanish networks (Univision and Telemundo) and will begin showing Bush ads next week in New Mexico, Florida, Nevada and Arizona. According to the AP article, this is part of the Bush strategy:

"President Bush feels that it's very important to reach out to citizens throughout this country who may not have English as their native tongue," said Scott Stanzel, a campaign spokesman. "Our media and advertising campaign will reflect that effort."

"If the Republicans take 5 (percent) to 10 percent of the Hispanic vote, they're going to kill the Democrats in those key states," said Joe Velasquez, a Democratic consultant with Moving America Forward, a group trying to mobilize Hispanic voters.

 

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