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          Iowa 2004 presidential primary precinct caucus and caucuses news, reports 
          and information on 2004 Democrat and Republican candidates, campaigns 
          and issues  |  
                          | Iowa
                            Presidential Watch's 
                            IOWA DAILY REPORTHolding
                            the Democrats accountable today, tomorrow...forever.
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                              The Iowa Daily Report -- Friday, January 9, 2004 “We as Democrats must 
                              take care that the tenor of the debate doesn’t 
                              become so inflamed that it turns people off. We 
                              have to be very careful about that,”
                              Dennis Kucinich 
                              said. “I think voters are becoming 
                              increasingly sensitized to that, which is why . . 
                              . we have to be careful about anger.  “Anger is not 
                              sustainable. You have to really provide people 
                              with hope. There is no crossover from anger to 
                              hope,” Kucinich 
                              said, saying a short time later, “This is 
                              where I think Democrats make a mistake — in just 
                              trying to tap anger. Where does it go? What do you 
                              stand for beyond that?”  "Dean has helped create 
                              this mood of self-righteous delusion," says New 
                              Republic. "Only Lieberman — the supposed candidate 
                              of appeasement — is challenging his party, 
                              enduring boos at event after event, to articulate 
                              a different, better vision of what it means to be 
                              a Democrat." 
                              --writes the New Republic in endorsing Sen. Joe 
                              Lieberman. “Although he occasionally 
                              says something refreshing, "it is hard to like 
                              Howard Dean. He seems as big a trimmer as Bill 
                              Clinton, and as bold and talented in that area as 
                              Mr. Clinton. He says America is no safer for the 
                              capture of Saddam Hussein, and then he says he 
                              didn't say it. He floats a rumor that the Saudis 
                              tipped off President Bush before 9/11, and then he 
                              says he never believed it. When he is caught and 
                              has to elaborate, explain or disavow, he 
                              dissembles with Clintonian bravado. This is not a 
                              good sign." -- 
                              writes Peggy Noonan. "Two years ago, it was 
                              right for President Bush to celebrate the promise 
                              of the No Child Left Behind Act. Today, it's 
                              disingenuous," 
                              said Sen. Edward Kennedy, D-Mass., who helped Bush 
                              move the bill through Congress but now is one of 
                              the president's strongest critics on the topic.
                              "It's way too soon for the `Mission 
                              Accomplished' banner on No Child Left Behind."  "It seems like the race 
                              is tightening," 
                              said Doug Sosnik, political director in the 
                              Clinton White House. "While Dean remains 
                              the solid front-runner, the race has a very fluid 
                              feeling to it."  "I can't stand there and 
                              listen to everyone else's opinion for eight hours 
                              about how to fix the world,"
                              said Howard Dean 
                              about Iowans and the Iowa Caucuses in an old 
                              television interview. "There are not better 
                              people in the world," the congressman said. "They 
                              are not dominated by special interests in any 
                              way," said Dick 
                              Gephardt about Iowa Caucus participants. “By any measure, the 
                              charge that we are less safe under George W. Bush 
                              than we were before is simply not true,”
                              said Bill 
                              Bennett, “Because of President Bush and no 
                              President before him, Osama bin Laden is dead, on 
                              the run, or in a hole of his own.”  “Idealism is what led me 
                              to the Democratic Party,”
                              Bill Bennett 
                              said. “Nothing was more important then in 
                              the Democratic Party. To the Democrats of today, 
                              nothing is less important. It is a shame. And even 
                              though I am a Republican, I take no pleasure in 
                              it.”  
                              Tony Perkins, 
                              president of the Family Research Council, said Mr. 
                              Dean is "having enough difficulty on taxes 
                              and Iraq, he should stay away from theology." "I doubt that you're 
                              going to find that conservatives believe they have 
                              a safe harbor with any of the Democrats,"
                              US 
                              Representative Elton Gallegly said. “Instead of looking in 
                              the mirror and trying to figure out what is wrong 
                              with them, Democrats vent at Bush. It's a 
                              disastrous strategy”
                              -- says Mort 
                              Kondracke, Executive Editor of Roll Call. “The trouble is the 
                              unDean is different everywhere you look. In the 
                              Granite State, Laura and co. reckon the unDean is 
                              Kerry. In Iowa, it’s Dick Gephardt, the soporific 
                              1970s union throwback. In Arizona, it’s General 
                              Wesley Clark, the pantomime stalking-horse entered 
                              by the Clintons. In South Carolina, it seems to be 
                              the Revd Al Sharpton, the distinguished 
                              race-baiter. And all these states are voting in 
                              the next month, which means, no matter how well he 
                              does, each unDean could be undone by some other 
                              unDean a couple of days later.” --
                              writes Mark 
                              Steyn in the American Spectator. "I've raised, I think, in 
                              the neighborhood of $18 million,"
                              Dick Gephardt 
                              said in response to a question at a meeting with 
                              local Democrats. "We think that's enough to 
                              get through these early primary states." 
                              "I had listened to him 
                              [Howard Dean] on TV, and I thought he sounded 
                              pretty good," 
                              
                              Jenny Briggs, an Iowa State University graduate 
                              said, standing in the town square in Newton, Iowa. 
                              "It turned out he was too good to be true." "He's running against the 
                              ghosts of caucuses past,"
                              said Joe 
                              Shannahan, a veteran Democratic activist said 
                              about Dick Gephardt. 'People are comparative 
                              shopping right now, and in the case of some 
                              candidates there may even be some buyer's remorse 
                              and people are beginning to look around,' he said. 
                              'I think there's an opportunity over these next 
                              weeks to define what this race is really all about 
                              -- and I'm a fighter,'"
                              said John Kerry. "I don't understand 
                              regional religion. Where you are holy in some 
                              states and unholy in others. I think that I preach 
                              everywhere I go. I don't talk religion in one 
                              state and drop it in another... I don't get the 
                              Holy Ghost on the plane to South Carolina. I take 
                              it with me to South Carolina,"
                              said Al Sharpton.
                               
                              Howard Dean: *Disses 
                              Iowa Caucuses*Deanies fired for misconduct
 *Dirty tricks? *Changing strategy
 *Gun record *Harkin’s endorsement
 
                              Dick Gephardt: 
                              *Dean’s Enron*Gephardt’s problems
 
                              John Kerry: 
                              *Yes to marijuana *Dean’s Enron Wesley Clark: 
                              *Says he’s Superman*Hurting Kerry in NH *Gender gap
 *Out of the limelight
                              Joe Lieberman: 
                              *Presses Dean on taxes 
                              Dennis Kucinich: 
                              *Peace candidate  
                              Just Politics: 
                              *Caucus strategy*The Republicans are coming
 *Poll watching *NH tracking poll
 Dean disses Iowa CaucusesI have spent nearly two years 
                              here in Iowa, talking to Iowans and campaigning in 
                              all 99 counties," Dean said. "I believe it's time 
                              to stand together, in common purpose, to take our 
                              country back and the Iowa caucus is where it all 
                              begins."  That was Howard Dean’s response 
                              to the revelation Dean was critical of the Iowa 
                              Caucuses when he was Governor of Vermont. Dean 
                              made the comments on a Canadian television program 
                              on which he was a regular guest while governor of 
                              Vermont. The program theme explored the 
                              differences between Canada and the United States. The Dean statement on the 
                              Canadian television program that is causing him 
                              trouble is:  "If 
                              you look at the caucuses system, they are 
                              dominated by the special interests, in both sides, 
                              in both parties. The special interests don't 
                              represent the centrist tendencies of the American 
                              people. They represent the extremes." The resulting flap from this 
                              latest Dean verbal revelation has resulted in 
                              Iowa’s Democratic leaders coming to the defense of 
                              the Iowa caucuses:  "The 
                              Iowa caucuses are dominated by regular Iowans who 
                              are concerned about bread and butter issues that 
                              all Americans care about," Gordon Fischer, the 
                              state's Democratic chairman said.  "The 
                              governor believes the Iowa caucuses remain a good 
                              proving ground for candidates as they take their 
                              messages into living rooms and around kitchen 
                              tables of real people," said Amanda Crumley, 
                              spokeswoman for Iowa Gov. Tom Vilsack, a Democrat 
                              who is neutral in the race.  Dean’s opponents were less kind… Which 
                              Howard Dean are Iowans going to vote for — the one 
                              who insults them, or the one who will be soon 
                              releasing yet another clarifying statement?" said 
                              Kerry spokeswoman Stephanie Cutter… She also 
                              stated, Dean "is going to extremes of his own to 
                              win over Iowa voters."  "I 
                              can't understand his comments about special 
                              interests dominating the caucuses," Dick Gephardt 
                              said. "Who are these special interests?"  Dean used his patented line ‘the 
                              voters have the power’ and he is with them to 
                              respond to criticism over the comments, "On caucus 
                              night, I am confident that we'll have terrific 
                              turnout that reflects a new energy and a new 
                              belief that people have the power to take back 
                              their country," Dean workers fired for misconductThe Dean campaign on Thursday 
                              was forced to fire two low-level volunteers who 
                              went into Kerry's campaign offices posing as 
                              average voters. The two workers went into Kerry’s 
                              office trying to glean information on the Kerry 
                              campaign. John Kerry's Iowa state director, John 
                              Norris, said that two out-of-state Dean supporters 
                              posed as undecided Iowans and tried to get 
                              information about campaign voter calling scripts 
                              from a Kerry office in Creston. Kerry's campaign 
                              reacted with outrage. Dean aides said the campaign 
                              adheres to strict ethical codes and that the two 
                              volunteers were dismissed.  Dean planning dirty tricks?Richard Gephardt's campaign 
                              manager, Steve Murphy, said a Dean field organizer 
                              told a Gephardt staff member that some of the 
                              expected 3,500 out-of-state Dean supporters coming 
                              to Iowa to turn out the caucus vote would try to 
                              infiltrate the process.  "It 
                              has come to our attention that your campaign in 
                              Iowa is engaged in an effort to violate caucus 
                              rules and send out-of-state supporters to pose as 
                              Iowa residents and caucus in cities and towns 
                              across the state," Murphy said in a letter to 
                              Trippi.  Dean campaign manager Joe Trippi 
                              denied the accusation and told Murphy in a letter 
                              that "sleazy tactics like yours are exactly the 
                              reason that people have stopped participating in 
                              the political process."  State party officials sent a 
                              warning to the campaigns in November after a Dean 
                              staff member in Vermont called and asked if a 
                              hotel address was sufficient grounds to 
                              participate. At the time, Dean officials dismissed 
                              the significance of the call and attributed it to 
                              a teen-age intern.  We 
                              understand that the grassroots enthusiasm this 
                              campaign has generated and the over 3,500 
                              volunteers who are canvassing in Iowa this month 
                              is threatening to Dick Gephardt,” Trippi said.  Except for a few urban precincts 
                              it would be very difficult for outsiders to 
                              infiltrate an Iowa caucus meeting. Candidates not 
                              currently registered must sign a separate sheet 
                              that would automatically draw attention to them. 
                              They are also required to publicly declare who 
                              they are for. Once again, this would make them 
                              subject to scrutiny by opposing campaigns. Anyone 
                              attempting to sneak into a precinct caucus meeting 
                              is subject to criminal prosecution.  Dean changing strategyDean’s misstatements and 
                              opponents’ attacks have the campaign rethinking 
                              its tactics. Dean's staff and supporters are 
                              moving into the front line of defense for Dean. 
                              This allows him to avoid the media.  Dean’s 
                              appearances are left to staged events, such as 
                              this evenings appearance with former Vice 
                              President Al Gore and friendly audiences. However 
                              Dean’s frank talk is what propelled his candidacy 
                              and his political staff’s counters to criticism do 
                              not carry the weight of a true Dean response. "It's 
                              not so much the attacks that are hurting us. None 
                              of this is sticking," argued Dean campaign manager 
                              Joe Trippi. "But they are hurting us because we're 
                              not getting our message out — standing up to 
                              President Bush and health care — because it's hard 
                              to do that when you're constantly answering 
                              charges."  Dean’s gun recordThe Washington Post covers 
                              Howard Dean’s record on gun control. The gun 
                              owners of Vermont have always worried about what 
                              Dean would do if he had to protect their rights, 
                              according to the story. One of the reasons is the 
                              way he sent back a questionnaire they sent: On a 
                              candidate questionnaire Gun Owners of Vermont sent 
                              out in July 1998, Dean left four of the five 
                              questions blank, scrawling at the bottom: "I 
                              support leaving the gun laws in Vermont alone as I 
                              have for the past 14 years. I, as always, reserve 
                              the right to change my position if compelling 
                              evidence warrants it. I have not seen such 
                              evidence in the past 14 years."  Like so many issues it is hard 
                              to tell what Dean would really do if it came down 
                              to it: "He 
                              speaks out of both sides of his mouth on this 
                              stuff," said Sam Frank, former sheriff of Orange 
                              County, Vt. He and several other police officers 
                              across the country sued to prevent the government 
                              from requiring them to perform background checks 
                              on gun purchasers, as mandated by the Brady 
                              federal gun law. One case succeeded in the Supreme 
                              Court in 1997.  "Even 
                              after we won, he was slow to stop the checks, and 
                              I had to write letters to the attorney general," 
                              Frank said. He and other gun rights activists say 
                              Dean avoided taking a public position on 
                              controversial gun issues. When the City Council in 
                              Montpelier, Vermont's capital, voted to ban the 
                              carrying of loaded weapons, gun rights advocates 
                              asked the governor to declare he would veto any 
                              bill that authorized the change.  Harkin’s endorsement"He's the Harry Truman of our 
                              generation," Iowa Sen. Tom Harkin said in 
                              interview with The Associated Press. "Howard Dean 
                              is really the kind of plain-spoken Democrat we 
                              need." Harkin's support will give Dean 
                              the backing of the state's most durable Democratic 
                              politician, and a man whose organization can prove 
                              a vital asset on caucus night Jan 19. Harkin 
                              helped swing the election to Al Gore against Bill 
                              Bradley. This is a big blow to Dick Gephardt and 
                              the industrial unions backing him. Those unions 
                              are long time supporters of Harkin. The Des Moines Register just 
                              this morning ran this story on the Harkin 
                              endorsement watch: Iowa 
                              Sen. Tom Harkin said he would decide whether to 
                              throw his coveted endorsement to any of the 
                              candidates by the weekend. 
                              Harkin, who had been weighing backing Dean, said 
                              Thursday the longer he waited to decide, the less 
                              likely an endorsement would be. Harkin 
                              said he didn't think his endorsement would make 
                              Democrats who have made up their minds rethink 
                              their decisions. But it might influence those who 
                              remain strategically uncommitted, awaiting signs 
                              of momentum.  Harkin, interviewed on CNN, did 
                              not deny he came close to a Dean endorsement but 
                              then held back under intense pressure from labor 
                              leaders backing Gephardt. "I've been called by a 
                              lot of people, as you can imagine," Harkin said. Gephardt: Dean’s EnronRep. Dick Gephardt issued the 
                              following statement on Howard Dean's new 
                              television ad in Iowa on Enron. 
                              "Governor Dean's attacks on Enron ring hollow in 
                              light of the fact that he lured them to Vermont 
                              with promises of generous tax breaks and no public 
                              disclosure. Howard Dean's actions doling out 
                              generous tax cuts to Enron and other large 
                              corporations will not allow him to draw the clear 
                              contrast with President Bush that our party needs 
                              to win in the fall. We need a candidate who can 
                              challenge George Bush on his ties to the special 
                              interests. When it comes to Enron, Howard Dean 
                              will not be able to do that." Gephardt’s problemsThe Associated Press reports on 
                              Gephardt’s challenges going into the last days of 
                              the campaign -- not the least of which is Sen. Tom 
                              Harkin of Iowa’s endorsement of Howard Dean: The 
                              challenge for Gephardt, with just over a week 
                              before the caucuses, is remaining focused on his 
                              campaign proposals while coming under fire, said 
                              strategist Jeff Link. It's a political high-wire 
                              act as candidates try to stay on message while 
                              ensuring that attacks don't go unanswered. "It's 
                              easy to lose focus when you're pressed on multiple 
                              fronts," said Link. "The worst thing you can do 
                              going into an election is lose the daily focus." Kerry: yes to marijuana Sen. John Kerry told an audience 
                              of college students he opposes federal 
                              prosecutions in medical marijuana cases in states 
                              that have legalized the practice, pledging to 
                              reverse Bush administration policy on the issue. 
                              Kerry also stated that he would reverse the ban on 
                              student aide for students convicted of drug use 
                              according to the Manchester Union Leader: Asked 
                              whether he would repeal federal law that denies 
                              federal student loan assistance for individuals 
                              convicted of drug offenses, he said it would 
                              depend on the offense.  “If 
                              the offense is use, yes,” he said. But “if the 
                              offense is selling, no.”  Kerry: Dean’s EnronSen. John Kerry states Howard 
                              Dean has launched a new television ad where Dean 
                              says Washington has prioritized companies over 
                              workers -- specifically Enron. Dean's ad claims 
                              "Washington" has allowed these corporations to 
                              gouge consumers and hurt their workers. The ad is 
                              scheduled to run in Boston and Greenville. 
                              Kerry said that 
                              the irony is that as Governor of 
                              Vermont, Howard Dean gave tax breaks to huge 
                              corporations including Enron: 
                              "As 
                              Governor, Howard Dean supported tax breaks for 
                              Enron, formed his own secret energy commission, 
                              and bowed to big utility companies. He wants to 
                              bring the Dean-Cheney model to Washington. That's 
                              not change. We already have that," 
                              said Kerry spokesperson Stephanie  Clark says he’s SupermanWesley Clark, thinking he must 
                              be Clark Kent, stated there would be no 9-11 while 
                              he was President, according to the Concord 
                              Monitor: Wesley 
                              Clark said yesterday the two greatest lies of the 
                              last three years are that the Sept. 11, 2001, 
                              terrorist attacks couldn't have been prevented and 
                              that another attack is inevitable… He said a Clark 
                              administration would protect America in the 
                              future.  "If 
                              I'm president of the United States, I'm going to 
                              take care of the American people," Clark said in a 
                              meeting with the Monitor editorial board. 
                              "We are not going to have one of these incidents." Not everyone was filled with 
                              confidence after Clark made his comments: Told 
                              of Clark's remarks, Dr. Michael Osterholm, an 
                              epidemiologist who appeared with Nunn, said he was 
                              troubled by Clark's certainty. "I'm looking to 
                              leaders today who are not out there trying to 
                              unnecessarily scare the public. But I think it's 
                              equally dangerous to try to reassure the public," 
                              said Osterholm, director of the Center for 
                              Infectious Disease and Research at the University 
                              of Minnesota. "We have to tell the truth, and the 
                              truth of the matter is that America still remains 
                              vulnerable." Clark hurting Kerry in NHSen. John Kerry’s biggest 
                              problem could be Wesley Clark back in New 
                              Hampshire, according to the LA Times: Crowds 
                              have grown substantially at Clark events, with 
                              many turning into standing-room-only affairs. At 
                              Concord High School Thursday night, more than 700 
                              people showed up despite below-zero temperatures. "I 
                              think there's something to it," political 
                              scientist J. Mark Wrighton said. "The race is 
                              tightening." But 
                              Wrighton, head of the University of New Hampshire 
                              Survey Center, said he was not convinced Clark's 
                              support was coming at the expense of Dean's. The 
                              bigger loser may be Sen. John F. Kerry of 
                              Massachusetts, who has slipped into third place 
                              behind Clark in at least one opinion poll. Clark has gender gap"There is a gender gap," said 
                              Geoffrey Garin, who heads the Clark campaign's 
                              polling operation, though Mr. Garin did not give 
                              out numbers. The NY Times reports on how 
                              Wesley Clark acts differently in front of women 
                              than he does in a mixed or men only group: 
                              “Generally women have not had major experience 
                              with military people, much less as a candidate for 
                              president," the aide said. "We've had to educate 
                              them not only on where he stands on domestic 
                              issues but on the fact that he's not just talking 
                              about the war and military issues." To do 
                              so, the campaign has recruited a network of women 
                              who speak in a weekly conference call, exchanging 
                              ideas about how to win over women with 
                              endorsements, advertisements and events. A 
                              17-minute biographical film by Linda Bloodworth, 
                              which is being shown weekly on a New Hampshire 
                              television station, has numerous references to 
                              General Clark's wife and his work with women in 
                              the military, portraying him as a champion of 
                              family issues. Out of the limelight"In a multi-candidate race like 
                              this you lose much less," said Anita Dunn, an 
                              adviser to Democratic candidate Bill Bradley in 
                              2000. "In Iowa, the top three candidates aren't 
                              necessarily the same as in New Hampshire." Clark’s 
                              campaign seems to have confusion and suffering 
                              buyer’s remorse about skipping Iowa. And the 
                              voluntary Clark effort in Iowa is getting outside 
                              help whether it likes it or not, according to the
                              Des Moines Register: Bud 
                              Jackson, who worked briefly as a consultant to the 
                              Clark campaign in November, said he has formed a 
                              political action committee called the General Fund 
                              to help boost Clark's prospects in Iowa. Jackson 
                              said his efforts are entirely separate from the 
                              official Clark campaign. In addition, Clark has sent 
                              mixed signals as to whether he will make a visit 
                              to Iowa before Jan. 19. On Wednesday Clark told 
                              the Associated Press that was a "misreading," and 
                              "I can't go back to Iowa. There's no time." 
                              Meanwhile, Kym Spell, a spokeswoman for Clark at 
                              campaign headquarters in Arkansas, said on 
                              Thursday Clark may make an Iowa stop. State 
                              Democrat Party Chairman Gordon Fischer said Clark 
                              would be welcomed back. "It's never too late to 
                              forgive a mistake," Fischer said. It’s bad enough that the media’s 
                              focus on Iowa is leaving Sen. Joe Lieberman and 
                              Wesley Clark off in the shadows. But now (with the 
                              spotlight returning to Clark), we’re not sure 
                              which mark he is going to be on -- Iowa, or New 
                              Hampshire? However, both the Clark and Lieberman 
                              campaigns agree on the Iowa finish that would best 
                              suit their strategy — a narrow Dean win over 
                              Gephardt, with Kerry far behind.  Lieberman presses Dean on taxesThe Manchester Union Leader 
                              reports Sen. Joe Lieberman continues to press for 
                              advantage over Dean on the issue of taxes on the 
                              middle-class: “If he 
                              passed his tax program instead of mine, he would 
                              take from the average middle class family of four 
                              here in Manchester $27,000 a year that I would 
                              leave in their bank account,” said Joe Lieberman. He also stated: 
                              “Unlike my plan . . . Wes Clark would give a tax 
                              cut to just a quarter of taxpayers, and Howard 
                              Dean would raise taxes on the middle class,” 
                              Lieberman said.  Kucinich the peace candidate“If we’re there for five years, 
                              we’re talking about a trillion dollars. I don’t 
                              think it’s in our national interest to occupy 
                              Iraq,” Dennis Kucinich states.  Kucinich told the Manchester 
                              Union Leader it would have been better, he 
                              added, had United Nations inspectors continued 
                              their work looking for weapons of mass 
                              destruction. Kucinich continued his isolationist 
                              views when it came to the subject of trade as 
                              well: His 
                              first obligation on trade, he said, would be to 
                              stabilize the nation’s manufacturing economy. And 
                              his first act in office, Kucinich said, would be 
                              to initiate withdrawal from the World Trade 
                              Organization and the NAFTA trade pact between the 
                              United States, Canada and Mexico. He would instead 
                              return to negotiating trade agreements on a 
                              bilateral basis.  Caucus strategyIowa Democratic Caucuses are 
                              about the election of delegates to the County 
                              Convention; where more delegates are elected to 
                              District and State Conventions; where delegates 
                              are elected to the National Democratic Convention. 
                              The process of electing those delegates on Jan. 19 
                              is about creating a viable group that qualifies to 
                              receive one of the delegates that are allotted to 
                              their precinct. The allocation of delegates is 
                              based on dividing the number of Democrats in the 
                              county into the size of the Democrat County 
                              Convention. Then each precinct’s number of 
                              registered democrats is divided by that number and 
                              that is how many delegates will be elected from 
                              that precinct.  One of the challenges for the 
                              candidates is to get their supporters to recruit 
                              from other non-viable groups or to join other 
                              groups, in order to better position their 
                              candidate in the results. Several campaigns are developing 
                              ways to swing support in some of the 1,990 
                              precincts on caucus night -- to benefit their own 
                              candidate or to hurt someone else’s, according to 
                              a Boston Globe story about the caucuses: At 
                              headquarters for Howard Dean, advisers are working 
                              on an automated system that would let precinct 
                              captains dial in early tallies. Knowing how Dean 
                              is faring statewide would allow the campaign to 
                              advise its supporters to throw Dean votes in some 
                              precincts to another candidate. Dean’s campaign is not the only 
                              campaign playing that game: "It's 
                              fair to say every campaign is going to have a 
                              strategy for caucus night" of how to manipulate 
                              votes once an early tally has taken place, said 
                              Rob Berntsen, the Iowa caucus director for Senator 
                              John Edwards of North Carolina. "It's going to be 
                              a very, very important period. . . . We've got to 
                              be prepared." The Republicans are comingAfter a year of Democrats 
                              blasting away in Iowa and pounding the airwaves 
                              with millions of dollars of propaganda, the 
                              Republicans are dispatching troops to spin the 
                              Iowa Caucus outcome on Jan. 19. Among the 
                              Republicans who will be in Iowa that day: former 
                              New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani, Marc Racicot, 
                              the chairman of the president’s re-election 
                              committee; Ken Mehlman, his campaign manager; 
                              Republican National Committee Chairman Ed 
                              Gillespie, Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist, R-Tenn.; 
                              U.S. Sen. Rick Santorum, R-Pa.; House Majority 
                              Leader Tom Delay, R-Texas; and Mary Matalin -- an 
                              adviser to Vice President Dick Cheney. Sen. John McCain and the troops 
                              will also be in New Hampshire on the run up to the 
                              Jan. 27 primary vote as well. Beginning Saturday, 
                              Jan. 24 through Tuesday, Jan. 27 -- the day of the 
                              primary -- Bush-Cheney Campaign Chairman Marc 
                              Racicot and Ken Mehlman, Bush campaign manager, 
                              said they plan to attend varying Republican 
                              get-out-the-vote events around Manchester. Also 
                              scheduled to campaign in New Hampshire are Bush’s 
                              sister, Doro Bush Koch, New York Gov. George 
                              Pataki, Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, Republican 
                              National Committee Chairman Ed Gillespie, Mary 
                              Matalin and Bush-Cheney New England Regional 
                              Chairman Jim Tobin. Poll watchingDes Moines TV KCCI-Channel 8 
                              news poll shows Dean with support from 29 percent 
                              of likely caucus-goers, followed by 25 percent for 
                              Gephardt, 18 percent for Kerry and 8 percent for 
                              North Carolina Sen. John Edwards. Thirteen percent 
                              of those polled said they were still undecided 
                              about whom they will support in the Jan. 19 
                              caucuses. The poll has a 5 percent margin of 
                              error.  N.H. tracking pollHoward Dean is reported to be at 
                              35 percent of likely primary voters in the New 
                              Hampshire poll. Clark was at 18 percent while 
                              Kerry had 12 percent. Joe Lieberman at 8 percent, 
                              Dick Gephardt at 6 percent, John Edwards at 3 
                              percent, Dennis Kucinich at 2 percent, and Carol 
                              Moseley Braun and Al Sharpton at less than 1 
                              percent, and 16 percent said they were undecided.
                               Conservative problemsPresident Bush is feeling the 
                              heat of Conservatives and it is hard to tell where 
                              their protest will erupt. The latest move by 
                              President Bush regarding amnesty and work permits 
                              for three years for immigrants has conservatives 
                              howling. Here is what Wesley Pruden, editor in 
                              chief of The Times, writes: 
                              “The president can't blame his critics for 
                              thinking that this is an amnesty born of 
                              election-year expediency. His political gurus are 
                              obsessed with trading his most reliable friends 
                              for the prospect of winning minority voters. They 
                              want to clear out the big tent to make it 
                              available to those who don't yet want a place in 
                              it.” Grover Norquist, the president 
                              of Americans for Tax Reform, said of immigration, 
                              "It's not a vote-moving issue for any bloc of the 
                              center-right coalition. People vote on guns. They 
                              vote on taxes. They vote on being prolife." It is the issue of a 
                              constitutional amendment against gay marriage 
                              where Bush may find the greatest need to come back 
                              to his party’s conservative roots. This might 
                              assuage a number of conservative Congressional 
                              members who are upset over the growing budget 
                              deficit. Still there are the blue-collar 
                              Democrats -- the Reagan Democrats -- who vote in 
                              the American Legion Halls to protest the 
                              immigration proposal. US Representative Elton 
                              Gallegly, a conservative Republican, said the 
                              president's immigration proposal could hurt him 
                              not only among conservatives but also with 
                              blue-collar "Reagan Democrats," who might feel 
                              threatened by having millions of guest workers in 
                              the labor force. The President’s best defense is: 
                              what are you going to do with the millions of 
                              immigrants who are already here? Are you going to 
                              pay to send them back? How many billions would 
                              that cost? Is it possible? The Wall Street Journal 
                              opinion puts it this way: 
                              “Like it or not, the U.S. is part of an 
                              integrating regional and world economy in which 
                              the movement of people across borders is 
                              inevitable. Despite nearly 20 years of efforts to 
                              "crack down on the borders," the immigrants keep 
                              coming--an estimated eight million without legal 
                              U.S. documents today. As long as the per capita 
                              income differential between the U.S. (nearly 
                              $32,000) and Mexico ($3,679) continues to be so 
                              wide, we can't stop immigrants short of means that 
                              will violate our traditions, our conscience, and 
                              our national interest.” U.N. returnThe Bush administration is 
                              launching an effort to persuade the United Nations 
                              to return to Iraq in coming months and to support 
                              the U.S. plan for transferring governing power to 
                              Iraqis by June 30th. The Washington Post reports 
                              the administration will also seek to enlist the 
                              U.N. chief's help in heading off an effort by 
                              influential Shiite Muslim leaders, including the 
                              cleric Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani, to renegotiate 
                              the plan for political transition in Iraq. The 
                              current plan calls for a series of regional 
                              caucuses to appoint a provisional government this 
                              summer. Sistani wants elections conducted to 
                              create that government: Abdel 
                              Aziz Hakim, a Shiite political figure who served 
                              as rotating president of the U.S.-appointed Iraqi 
                              Governing Council last month, asked Annan in a 
                              confidential Dec. 29 letter to send a U.N. team to 
                              Iraq to determine whether national elections could 
                              be organized before creation of a provisional 
                              government. He also appealed to Annan to help 
                              negotiate the terms for the country's political 
                              transition in the event that elections were deemed 
                              "unfeasible."  They did too have WMDFormer US president Bill Clinton 
                              said in October during a visit to Portugal that he 
                              was convinced Iraq had weapons of mass destruction 
                              up until the fall of Saddam Hussein, Portuguese 
                              Prime Minister Jose Manuel Durao Barroso said. The 
                              AFP reports that the Portuguese Prime Minister 
                              offered this account of Clinton’s statement: "When 
                              Clinton was here recently he told me he was 
                              absolutely convinced, given his years in the White 
                              House and the access to privileged information 
                              which he had, that Iraq possessed weapons of mass 
                              destruction until the end of the Saddam regime," 
                              he said in an interview with Portuguese cable news 
                              channel SIC Noticias.    
          
                                        
                                        
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