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"bounce"

President Bush and John Kerry political cartoon.

 

Sept. 4, 2004...

 

 

Poll: Bush Leads by 11 Points During RNC

A new poll, taken by Time magazine of 926 likely voters, shows President Bush with an 11-point lead over John Kerry -- 52 percent to 41 percent. Nader had 5 percent. The poll was taken Aug. 31-September 2. Even with the margin of error (plus or minus 4 points), the decline in Kerry’s campaign is significant and perhaps more is to come. According to the AP article:

Veteran pollsters say that polls taken during convention weeks should be viewed with caution because they are conducted at a point when public opinion is focused on only one party and a bounce in the numbers could be short-lived.

However, they also noted that polls taken during conventions can sometimes foreshadow a longer lasting bounce. Much of the poll was taken before President Bush's speech on Thursday night.

Other bad news for Kerry:

Bush leads Kerry in areas like handling terrorism, handling Iraq, and providing strong leadership. Bush and Kerry were about even on handling the economy, an improvement for Bush compared with other recent polls.

Kerry campaign aides questioned the size of the Bush lead and pointed to other national polls taken in recent days that show the race is close.

 

 

       
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