New Jersey turning for Bush!
          
          Iowa Presidential Watch reported yesterday that the Bush campaign was 
          checking on media buys in New York in order to influence New Jersey. 
          Now, USA Today reports that New Jersey is in fact up for grabs:
          
          Even if Bush does spend money there, analysts doubt Kerry will. "If 
          they're going to lose New Jersey, they're going to lose in a landslide 
          anyway," says University of Virginia political scientist Larry Sabato. 
          "They have to spend their money     on the real  battleground states - 
          Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida."
          
          Still, Kerry's drop in New Jersey is "flabbergasting," says David 
          Rebovich of the Rider Institute for New Jersey Politics. "From gun 
          control to a woman's right to choose to the environment, health care, 
          the war in Iraq, Kerry is on the correct     side of the issues" to 
          win in New Jersey, he says. But, he adds, "New Jersey is a 9/11 
          state."
          
           
          
          Transcript of Bush-Allawi press conference
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: Thank you all for coming. I'm honored to stand with 
          the Prime Minister of a free and sovereign Iraq. Welcome, Mr. Prime 
          Minister. I applaud your leadership and your courage. It's my honor to 
          welcome a friend to the White House. 
          
          Mr. Prime Minister, you've accomplished a great deal in less than the 
          three months since the transition to a free Iraq that is governed by 
          Iraqis. These have been months of steady progress, despite persistent 
          violence in some parts of your country. Iraqis and their leaders are 
          engaged in a great and historic enterprise to establish a new 
          democracy at the heart of a vital region. 
          
          As friends of liberty, the new leaders of Iraq are friends of America, 
          and all civilized nations. As enemies of tyranny and terror, the 
          people of Iraq and the American troops and civilians supporting their 
          dreams of freedom have been the target of acts of violence. The 
          enemies of freedom are using suicide bombing, beheadings, and other 
          horrific acts to try to block progress. We're sickened by the 
          atrocities, but we'll never be intimidated. And freedom is winning.
          
          
          Mr. Prime Minister, America will stand with you until freedom and 
          justice have prevailed. America's security and Iraq's future depend on 
          it. 
          
          The Iraqi people are showing great courage and great determination. As 
          terrorists have attacked Iraqi security forces, still more brave 
          Iraqis have come forward to volunteer to serve their country. As 
          killers have attempted to assassinate government officials, Iraq's 
          leaders have refused to be intimidated, and the vast majority of 
          Iraqis remain committed to democracy. 
          
          The path to our safety and to Iraq's future as a democratic nation 
          lies in the resolute defense of freedom. If we stop fighting the 
          terrorists in Iraq, they would be free to plot and plan attacks 
          elsewhere, in America and other free nations. To retreat now would 
          betray our mission, our word, and our friends. Mr. Prime Minister, 
          America will keep it's commitments. 
          
          The path ahead is difficult because a free Iraq has deadly enemies. 
          Remnants of the old regime and terrorist groups want to prevent Iraq's 
          elections and demoralize Iraq's allies. Because of that, Prime 
          Minister Allawi and I believe terrorist violence may well escalate as 
          the January elections draw near. The terrorists know that events in 
          Iraq are reaching a decisive moment. If elections go forward, 
          democracy in Iraq will put down permanent roots, and terrorists will 
          suffer a dramatic defeat. And because Iraq and America and our 
          coalition are standing firm, the Iraqi people, and not the terrorists, 
          will determine Iraq's future. 
          
          There's much at stake. Mr. Prime Minister, you recently said, the war 
          in Iraq now is not only an Iraqi war, it is a war for the civilized 
          world to fight terrorists and terrorism, and there is no route but the 
          route of winning. Prime Minister Tony Blair recently called the 
          struggle in Iraq the crucible in which the future of global terrorism 
          will be determined. I share the view of these strong leaders that Iraq 
          is a central front in the war on terror, and our only option is 
          victory. 
          
          We're making steady progress in implementing our five-step plan toward 
          the goal we all want, completing the mission so that Iraq is stable 
          and self-governing, and American troops can come home with the honor 
          they have earned. 
          
          The first step was achieved on June 28th, not only on time, but ahead 
          of schedule, when the coalition transferred full sovereignty to a 
          government of Iraqi citizens. 
          
          The second step is to help Iraq's new government establish stability 
          and security. Iraq must be able to defend itself. And Iraqi security 
          forces are taking increasing responsibility for their country's 
          security. Nearly 100,000 fully trained and equipped Iraqi soldiers, 
          police officers, and other security personnel are working today. And 
          that total will rise to 125,000 by the end of this year. The Iraqi 
          government is on track to build a force of over 200,000 security 
          personnel by the end of next year. With the help of the American 
          military, the training of the Iraqi army is almost halfway complete. 
          And in Najaf and other important areas, Iraqi military forces have 
          performed with skill and success. In Najaf, Iraqi and coalition forces 
          effectively surrounded, isolated and engaged enemy militias. Prime 
          Minister Allawi and his government reached out to the local population 
          to persuade citizens the path to a better future would be found in 
          political participation and economic progress. The interim government 
          then negotiated from a position of strength to end the standoff. 
          
          Serious problems remain in several cities. Prime Minister Allawi 
          believes this combination of decisive action and outreach to peaceful 
          citizens is the most effective way to defeat terrorists and 
          insurgents, and secure the peace of Iraq. And America stands with him.
          
          
          The third step in our plan is to continue improving Iraq's 
          infrastructure. On television sets around the world, we see acts of 
          violence -- yet, in most of Iraq, children are about to go back to 
          school, parents are going back to work and new businesses are being 
          opened. Over 100 companies are now listed on the Iraqi stock exchange. 
          And an average of five new companies are joining each week. 
          Electricity has been restored above pre-war levels. Telephone service 
          has increased dramatically. More than 2,000 schools have been 
          renovated and millions of new textbooks have been distributed
          
          There is much more work to be done. We've already spent more than a 
          billion dollars on urgent reconstruction projects in areas threatened 
          by the insurgency. In the next several months, over $9 billion will be 
          spent on contracts that will help Iraqis rebuild schools, refurbish 
          hospitals and health clinics, repair bridges, upgrade the electricity 
          grid, and modernize the communications system. Prime Minister Allawi 
          and I both agree that the pace of reconstruction should be 
          accelerated. We're working toward that goal. 
          
          The fourth step in our plan is to enlist additional international 
          support for Iraq's transition to democracy. The multinational force of 
          some 30 nations continues to help secure a free Iraq. We honor the 
          servicemen and women of Great Britain, Bulgaria, Denmark, El Salvador, 
          Estonia, Hungary, Italy, Latvia, the Netherlands, Poland, Slovakia, 
          Spain, Thailand, and Ukraine have died, besides Iraqis and Americans, 
          for the cause of freedom and security of the world. Our coalition is 
          grateful that the United Nations has reestablished it's mission in 
          Baghdad. We're grateful to the G-8 countries and the European Union 
          for pledging support to the new Iraqi government. We're grateful to 
          the NATO Alliance for helping to train Iraqi forces. We're grateful to 
          many of Iraq's creditors, which have agreed to a further reduction of 
          Iraq's debt. Because all nations have an interest in the success of a 
          free Iraq, I urge all nations to join in this vital cause. 
          
          The fifth and most important step in our plan is to help Iraq conduct 
          free national elections no later than next January. An Iraqi electoral 
          commission is now up and running and has already hired personnel and 
          is making key decisions about election procedures. Just this week, the 
          commission began a public education campaign to inform Iraqis about 
          the process and encourage them to become voters. United Nations 
          electoral advisors are on the ground in Iraq, though more are needed. 
          Prime Minister Allawi and I have urged the U.N. to send sufficient 
          personnel to help ensure the success of Iraqi elections. 
          
          At every stage in this process of establishing self-government, the 
          Iraqi people and their leaders have met the schedules they set, and 
          have overcome their challenges with confidence. And under this good 
          man's leadership, they will continue to do so. 
          
          The war for Iraq's freedom is a fight against some of the most 
          ruthless and brutal men on Earth. In such a struggle, there will be 
          good days, and there will be difficult days. But every day our resolve 
          must remain firm. 
          
          Prime Minister, today I want to leave you and the nation you serve 
          with a clear message: You have not faltered in a time of challenge, 
          and neither will America. Thank you for your leadership. You honor us 
          with your visit. 
          
          PRIME MINISTER ALLAWI: Thank you. 
          
          Mr. President, thank you for those kind words. It is an honor to be 
          here today in your nation's capital. It is a great honor to share this 
          platform with you, a leader who worked tirelessly for the liberation 
          of my country. 
          
          These last few days have been difficult for us Iraqis, for you 
          Americans, and for all our allies. Let me start by saying that my 
          thoughts and prayers are with the families of those fighting today in 
          Iraq, and in particularly, with the families of those who have lost 
          loved ones at the hands of the terrorists or the insurgents. 
          
          Like this nation, which is -- which in the face of such brutality is 
          standing strong against terrorism, so we Iraqis will not be cowed by 
          the terrorists. Your government and my government understand what is 
          at stake today in Iraq. Today we face a concentrated campaign by 
          terrorists and by the enemies of all the values which we hold dear, a 
          campaign to shake our resolve, and to prevent Iraq and Iraqis from 
          attaining the freedom and democracy which we have dreamed of for more 
          than the last 30 years. 
          
          These terrorists understand all too well that success in Iraq will be 
          an enormous blow for terrorism worldwide, and an enormous step forward 
          for peace and stability in the Middle East, and in the wider world.
          
          
          I thank you, Mr. President, for your determination to stand firm with 
          us in Iraq, and for the unflinching message which you are delivering 
          to our enemies. 
          
          Mr. President, I stand here today as a Prime Minister of a country 
          emerging finally from dark ages of tyranny, aggression, and 
          corruption. Like you, I knew how evil Saddam Hussein and his regime 
          truly were. Like you, I knew the damage he had brought on his country. 
          Like you, I knew of the wars he had started, and the dangers he posed 
          to my region and the world; or at least I thought I knew. For I, like 
          millions of other Iraqis, were forced into exile, realizing that we 
          could only fight Saddam from outside Iraq. 
          
          Even then we were not safe, as I, myself, can testify. But when I 
          returned to Iraq, following the liberation of my country, I was truly 
          shocked by just how much damage Saddam had done to -- in his 30 years 
          of rule. Iraq is a deeply scarred society in a very troubled region. 
          Today, we are witnessing all too vividly the true extent of the damage 
          which Saddam inflicted on our society. 
          
          Mr. President, Iraqis thank God, thank America, and thank our allies 
          that Saddam is gone. We are safer, the region is safer, the world is 
          safer without him. But the scars will take time to -- determination to 
          -- time and determination to heal. 
          
          Again, Mr. President, I thank you for your leadership. We had an 
          excellent meeting today, building on the talks we had on Tuesday in 
          New York. We discussed the challenges ahead of us and how to confront 
          them. We discussed the plan to take Iraq through these difficulties 
          and to ensure that democratic elections take place on time next year.
          
          
          And we discussed the importance of maintaining the strength of the 
          coalition, and the support of the international community in helping 
          us to succeed. As we discussed, the plan focuses on building 
          democracy, defeating the insurgency, and improving the quality of life 
          for the ordinary Iraqis. Our political plan is to isolate the 
          terrorists from the communities in which they operate. We are working 
          hard to involve as many people as we can in the political process, to 
          cut the ground from under the terrorists' feet. 
          
          Of course, we know that terrorism cannot be defeated with political 
          tools alone, but we can weaken it. And in local support helps us to 
          tackle the enemy head on, to identify, isolate and eradicate this 
          cancer. Our military plan will enable us to build and maintain 
          security across Iraq. Ordinary Iraqis are anxious to take over 
          entirely this role and to shoulder all the security burdens of our 
          country as quickly as possible. 
          
          We do not want the multinational force to stay in Iraq any more than 
          you want to remain there -- for there. But for now, we need you. We 
          need the help of our American and multinational partners while we 
          continue to accelerate the training of Iraqi security forces. 
          
          The Iraqi government now commands almost 100,000 trained and 
          combat-ready Iraqis, including police, national guard and army. The 
          government have accelerated the development of Iraqi special forces 
          and established a counter-terrorist strike force to address the 
          specific problems caused by the insurgency. Our intelligence is 
          getting better every day. You have seen that in the successful 
          resolution of the Najaf crisis and in the targeted attacks against 
          insurgents in Fallujah. 
          
          Finally, our economic plan is to improve the everyday lives of Iraqis 
          as we deliver both political and security progress. Here, thanks to a 
          large extent to the generous security and reconstruction funding 
          approved by the United States Congress, work is underway. Oil 
          pipelines are being repaired. Basic service has improved; streets and 
          homes rebuilt; schools, hospitals and clinics reopened. Thousands of 
          Iraqis have new jobs. Salaries have been increased dramatically -- in 
          many cases, five or four times over. Iraq's economy, freed from the 
          stranglehold of a failed Baathist ideology, has finally started to 
          flourish. 
          
          Mr. President, we also discussed the importance of holding free and 
          fair national and local elections this coming January, as planned. I 
          know that some have speculated, even doubted, whether this date can be 
          met, so let me be absolutely clear that elections will occur in Iraq 
          on time in January, because Iraqis want election on time. In 15 out of 
          18 Iraqi provinces, the security situation is good for elections to be 
          held tomorrow. 
          
          Here, Iraqis are getting on with their daily lives, hungry for the new 
          political and economic freedoms they are enjoying. Although, this is 
          not what you see in your media, it is a fact. The Iraqi elections may 
          not be perfect; they may not be the best elections that Iraq will ever 
          hold; they will undoubtedly be an excuse for violence from those who 
          disparage and despise liberty, as we -- the first elections -- as were 
          the first elections in Sierra Leone, South Africa and Indonesia. But 
          they will take place, and they will be free and fair. 
          
          Finally, Mr. President, a word about international resolve. Iraq 
          cannot accomplish this alone. The international forces of tyranny and 
          oppression are lined up against us. Iraq is now the main battleground 
          between the forces of hope and the forces of fear. This is a struggle 
          which will shape the future of our world. 
          
          Already, Iraq has many partners. More than two dozen countries are 
          represented in Iraq with troops on the ground. We Iraqis are grateful 
          for each and every one of these courageous men and women. The United 
          Nations, the European Union, the G-8 have lent their strong support. 
          NATO, just yesterday, increased its commitment to Iraq. Many more 
          nations have committed to Iraq future in the form of economic aid. I 
          am grateful for the support. I look to my Arab brothers to join us 
          fully. 
          
          I know it is difficult, but the coalition must stand firm. When 
          governments negotiate with terrorists, everyone in the free world 
          suffers. When political leaders sound the sirens of defeatism in the 
          face of terrorism, it only encourages more violence. Working together, 
          we will defeat the killers, and we'll do this by refusing to bargain 
          about our most fundamental principles. 
          
          I understand why, faced with the daily headlines, there are those 
          doubts. I know, too, that there are -- there will be many more 
          setbacks and obstacles to overcome. But these doubters underestimate 
          our country and they risk fueling the hopes of terrorism. 
          
          Mr. President, there are those who want to divide our world. I appeal 
          to you, who have done so much already, to help us to ensure they don't 
          succeed. 
          
          Thank you. 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: We'll take a couple of questions now. Terry. 
          
          Q Mr. President, two more Americans have been beheaded. More than 300 
          Iraqis have been killed in the last week. Fallujah is out of 
          government control. And U.S. and Iraqi forces have been unable to 
          bring security to diplomatic and commercial centers of Baghdad. Why 
          haven't U.S. forces been able to capture or kill al Zarqawi, who's 
          blamed for much of the violence? And what's your answer to General 
          John Abizaid's statement that, "I think we will need more troops than 
          we currently have"? 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: If that's what he says -- he was in my office this 
          morning; he didn't say that to me, but if he were to say that, I'd 
          listen to him, just like I've said all along, that when our commanders 
          say that they need support, they'll get support, because we're going 
          to succeed in this mission. 
          
          The first part of the question was, how come we haven't found Zarqawi. 
          We're looking for him. He hides. He is -- he is -- he's got a 
          effective weapon, and that is terror. I said yesterday that our 
          military cannot be defeated by these thugs, that -- but what they do 
          is behead Americans so they can get on the TV screens. And they're 
          trying to shake our will and trying to shake the Iraqis' will. That's 
          what they're trying to do. 
          
          And like all Americans, I'm disgusted by that kind of behavior. But 
          I'm not going to yield. We're not going to abandon the Iraqi people. 
          It's in our interests that we win this battle in the war on terror. 
          See, I think that the Iraq theater is a part of the war on terror. 
          That's what the Prime Minister said, as well. He believes the same 
          thing. He understands what's going on there -- after all, he lives 
          there. 
          
          And I believe that if we wilt, or leave, America's security will be 
          much worse off. I believe that if Iraq -- if we fail in Iraq, it's the 
          beginning of a long struggle. We will not have done our duty to our 
          children and our grandchildren. And so that's why I'm consistently 
          telling the Iraqi citizens that we will not be intimidated. That's why 
          my message to Mr. Zarqawi is: You cannot drive us out of Iraq by your 
          -- by your brutality. 
          
          It's tough work, everybody knows that. It's hard work. But we must not 
          allow the actions of a few -- and I emphasize that -- I say that 
          because there are 25 million Iraqis, by far the vast majority of whom 
          want to live in a free society. And we cannot allow the actions of a 
          few to determine the fate of these good people, as well as the fate of 
          the security of the United States. 
          
          PRIME MINISTER ALLAWI: May I, Mr. President? 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: Sure. 
          
          PRIME MINISTER ALLAWI: I just have a few words to say to this 
          question. 
          
          We cannot really substitute Iraq for Fallujah. Fallujah is a small 
          part of Iraq. There are insurgents and terrorists who are active there 
          for geographical reasons. The people of Fallujah are adamant that they 
          should -- whenever they are capable -- to get rid of the insurgents. 
          We have been talking to them, I have been talking to them, engaged in 
          dialogue. My deputy met with the Fallujah tribes two days ago. Things 
          are moving in the right direction and we are hitting insurgents and 
          terrorists in this part of the world. 
          
          To have more troops, we don't need. What we need really is to train 
          more Iraqis, because this is ultimately for Iraqis, for Iraqi security 
          forces to take responsibility for their own security and to defend the 
          rest of the civilized world. What is happening, sir, in Iraq, is 
          really Iraq is becoming a front line for a global fight against 
          terrorists. So that's why Zarqawi is not alone. There are other groups 
          similar to Zarqawi. There are groups who are insurgents who have 
          stained their hands with the murders of the Iraqi people, who are 
          Saddam's loyalists. They are working together. 
          
          We assure you that we are going to defeat these evil forces, in Iraq 
          and throughout the world. 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: Steve. 
          
          Q Mr. President, John Kerry is accusing you of colossal failures of 
          judgment in Iraq and having failed to level with the American people 
          about how tough it is there. How do you respond to him? 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: It's hard work in Iraq. Everybody knows that. We see 
          it on our TV. My message is that -- is that we will stay the course 
          and stand with these people so that they become free. It's in our 
          national interest we do so. I believe this is a central part in the 
          war on terror. I believe that when we succeed in Iraq, that America 
          will be more secure. I also know that a free Iraq will send a clear 
          message to the part of the world that is desperate for freedom. 
          
          It's hard work. The American people know that. But I believe it's 
          necessary work. And I believe a leader must be consistent and clear 
          and not change positions when times get tough. And the times have been 
          hard -- these are hard times. But I understand that -- what mixed 
          messages do. You can embolden an enemy by sending a mixed message. You 
          can dispirit the Iraqi people by sending mixed messages. You send the 
          wrong message to our troops by sending mixed messages. That's why I 
          will continue to lead with clarity and in a resolute way, because I 
          understand the stakes. These are high stakes. And we'll succeed. 
          
          Is anybody here from the Iraqi media? Why don't we -- yes, please, 
          sir. Standing next to a fine man in Deans. 
          
          Q (Question not asked in English.) 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: I'm not so sure I agree with that. (Laughter.) 
          
          INTERPRETER: The question to the U.S. President: What are the plans to 
          accelerate the arrival of the fund donated by various countries around 
          the world, the countries that are contributing to the rebuilding of 
          Iraq, in order to encourage investments in Iraq -- particularly with a 
          very high unemployment rate? 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: Right. There are at least three aspects to the 
          reconstruction projects. One is our own money. And as I mentioned in 
          my remarks, there's $7 billion committed. We've got more money to 
          spend, and we will spend it when contracts are let and when there's -- 
          and when there's enough security in certain neighborhoods to be able 
          to spend the money wisely. 
          
          Secondly, part of making sure that the Iraq balance sheet is in good 
          shape is to continue to work on debt reductions. I named former 
          Secretary Jim Baker to go around to the creditor nations; he received 
          some commitments. And I believe that the world will make its decision 
          later on this year as to how much debt reduction there will be in 
          Iraq. 
          
          And, thirdly, as you mentioned, other nations have pledged help to the 
          Iraqi people. And there will be a donors conference in Japan, kind of 
          an accountability conference for people to come and explain where they 
          are in meeting their different promises. 
          
          Yes, NBC man, there -- your name? 
          
          Q Gregory, sir. 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: Gregory. 
          
          Q Mr. President, you say today that the work in Iraq is tough and will 
          remain tough. And, yet, you travel this country and a central theme of 
          your campaign is that America is safer because of the invasion of 
          Iraq. Can you understand why Americans may not believe you? 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: No. Anybody who says that we are safer with Saddam 
          Hussein in power is wrong. We went into Iraq because Saddam Hussein 
          defied the demands of the free world. We went into Iraq after 
          diplomacy had failed. And we went into Iraq because I understand after 
          September the 11th we must take threats seriously, before they come to 
          hurt us. 
          
          And I think it's a preposterous claim to say that America would be 
          better off with Saddam Hussein in power. I certainly know that that's 
          the case for America and I certainly know it's the case for the Iraqi 
          people. These are people who were tortured. This good man was abed in 
          a London flat, and he wakes up with two Saddam henchmen there with 
          axes, trying to cut him to pieces with an axe. And, fortunately, he's 
          alive today; fortunately, we call him friend and ally. But he knows 
          what it means to have lived under a society in which a thug like 
          Saddam Hussein would send people with axes to try to kill him in bed 
          in a London flat. 
          
          No, this world is better off with Saddam Hussein in prison. 
          
          Q Sir, may I just follow, because I don't think you're really 
          answering the question. I mean, I think you're responding to Senator 
          Kerry, but there are beheadings regularly, the insurgent violence 
          continues, and there are no weapons of mass destruction. My question 
          is, can you understand that Americans may not believe you when you say 
          that America is actually safer today? 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: Imagine a world in which Saddam Hussein were still in 
          power. This is a man who harbored terrorists -- Abu Abbas, Abu Nidal, 
          Zarqawi. This is a man who was a sworn enemy of the United States of 
          America. This is a man who used weapons of mass destruction. Going 
          from tyranny to democracy is hard work, but I think the argument that 
          says that Saddam Hussein -- if Saddam Hussein were still in power, 
          we'd be better off is wrong. 
          
          King. 
          
          Q Sir, I'd like you answer Senator Kerry and other critics who accuse 
          you of hypocrisy or opportunism when, on the one hand, you put so much 
          stock in the CIA when it said Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass 
          destruction, and now say it is just guessing when it paints a 
          pessimistic picture of the political transition. 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: Yes. 
          
          Q And I like to, if you don't mind, follow on something the Prime 
          Minister just said. If General Abizaid says he needs more troops and 
          the Prime Minister says he does not want more troops, who wins? 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: Let me talk to General Abizaid. As I said, he just 
          came in to see me, and I want to make sure -- I'm not suggesting any 
          of the reporters here might be taking something out of context -- that 
          would never happen in America. But, nevertheless, I do want to sit 
          down and talk to him about it. Obviously, we can work this out. It's 
          in the -- if our commanders on the ground feels it's in the interest 
          of the Iraq citizens to provide more troops, we'll talk about it. 
          That's -- that's why -- they're friends; that's what we do about 
          friends. 
          
          First part of the question -- oh, yes, yes -- 
          
          Q They say you've been opportunistic -- 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: Yes, got it. Listen, the other day I was asked about 
          the NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATE, which is a National Intelligence 
          Estimate. This is a report that talks about possibilities about what 
          can happen in Iraq, not probabilities. I used an unfortunate word, 
          "guess." I should have used, "estimate." And the CIA came and said, 
          this is a possibility, this is a possibility, and this is a 
          possibility. But what's important for the American people to hear is 
          reality. And the reality is right here in the form of the Prime 
          Minister. And he is explaining what is happening on the ground. That's 
          the best report. And this report was written in July, and now we are 
          here in September, and as I said, "estimate" would have been a better 
          word. 
          
          Q Mr. President -- 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: Hold on for a minute. Hold on for a minute, please, 
          please. We've got other people from -- hold on for a second. 
          
          PRIME MINISTER ALLAWI: From the other -- 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: From Iraq. Are you from Iraq? 
          
          Q No -- 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: Okay. No, hold on for a second. We need people from 
          Iraq first, please. One journalist from Iraq. You're not from Iraq, 
          Allen. And neither are you, Elisabeth. 
          
          PRIME MINISTER ALLAWI: Give Al Arabiya -- 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: Is anybody here from CBS? Roberts, there you are. 
          Please. 
          
          Q -- happy to be here. 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: Happy to be here, thank you. (Laughter.) 
          
          Q Sir, you -- 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: Terry, you're next. 
          
          Q You have been accused on the campaign trail in this election year of 
          painting an overly optimistic portrait of the situation on the ground 
          in Iraq. Yesterday, in Valley Forge, you said that there was a 
          "handful" of people who were willing to kill to try to disrupt the 
          process. Isn't that really understating the case, particularly when 
          there are intelligence reports that hundreds, if not thousands, of 
          foreign fighters are streaming across the border from Syria to take up 
          the fight of the insurgency? And do you believe, given the situation 
          on the ground in Fallujah and other northern cities in the Sunni 
          Triangle, that elections are possible in four months? 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: I do, because the Prime Minister told me they are. He 
          is -- he's interested in moving this country forward. And you heard 
          his statement, and I believe him. 
          
          The first part of the question? 
          
          Q The first question was, aren't you being -- 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: Yes, got it, got it. Yes. Yesterday -- 
          
          Q -- disingenuous -- 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: Right. I said -- look, what we're seeing on our TV 
          screens are the acts of suicide bombers. They're the people who -- 
          that are affecting the daily -- the nightly news. And they know its 
          effect. I said that the enemy cannot defeat us militarily. What they 
          can do is take acts of violence that try to discourage us, and try to 
          discourage the Prime Minister and the people of Iraq. 
          
          Look, I'm fully aware we're fighting former Baathists and Zarqawi 
          network people. But, by far, the vast majority of people, John, and of 
          25 million people, want to live in freedom. My point is, is that a few 
          people, relative to the whole, are trying to stop the march of 
          freedom. 
          
          It is tough work. Everybody in America knows that. And the fundamental 
          question is, are we going to allow the tough work to cause us to 
          retreat, to waver? And my answer to the American people, and the Iraqi 
          people, and to the enemy, is that we will complete our mission. We 
          will do our duty. We will adjust strategies on the ground, depending 
          upon the tactics of the enemy, but we're not going to allow the 
          suiciders to drive us out of Iraq. 
          
          Terry. 
          
          PRIME MINISTER ALLAWI: May I, may I -- 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: Yes, please. 
          
          PRIME MINISTER ALLAWI: Let me explain something, which is very 
          important. I have noticed -- and the media have been neglected and 
          omitted several times -- in the Western media -- Iraq is made out of 
          18 provinces, 18, 1-8. Out of these 18 provinces, 14 to 15 are 
          completely safe, there are no problems. And I can count them for you, 
          starting from Basra moving into Iraq Kurdistan. There are three areas, 
          three provinces where there are pockets of insurgents, pockets of 
          terrorists who are acting there and are moving from there to inflict 
          damage elsewhere in the country. 
          
          So, really, if you care to look at Iraq properly, and go from Basra to 
          Nasiriyah to Kut to Diyala to Najaf to Karbala to Diwaniya to Samaraa 
          to Kirkuk to Sulaymaniyah to Dahuk to Arbil, there are no problems. 
          It's safe, it's good. There are problems in Fallujah. Fallujah is part 
          of a 
          
          province; the province is called Al Anbar. It's vast, very big; it has 
          many other important towns, such as Ana, such as Rawa, such as Ramadi. 
          There is nothing there. In Ana and Rawa, indeed, there is nothing, no 
          problem, except on a small pocket in Fallujah. 
          
          So, really, I call upon the responsible media -- throughout the world, 
          not only here -- to look at the facts as they are in Iraq and to 
          propagate these facts to the international community. 
          
          I am not trying to undermine that there are dangers. There are dangers 
          in Iraq; there are problems, and we are facing international terrorist 
          onslaught on Iraq. I, personally, receive every day a threat. In the 
          last four weeks, they found four conspiracies to kill me. And, 
          likewise, there are killing people -- they are killing officials, they 
          are killing innocent people. But the Iraqis are not deterred, and we 
          are not going to be deterred. I went the next day and saw our 
          recruitment center for the police, after they killed, massacred 40-45 
          people. I found hundreds of people coming to be volunteer -- to 
          volunteer to the police and to the army. I spoke to them. They are all 
          upbeat. They are resolved to beat terrorism and to defeat the 
          insurgents. 
          
          These are facts that one really needs to explain to you and you need 
          to explain it to the people. 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: Terry. 
          
          Q Mr. President and Mr. Prime Minister, I'd like to ask about the 
          Iraqi people. Both of you have spoken for them today, and, yet, over 
          the past several months there have been polls conducted by the 
          Coalition Provisional Authority, by the Oxford Institute and other 
          reputable organizations, that have found very strong majorities do not 
          see the United States as a liberator, but as an occupier, are unhappy 
          with American policy and want us out. Don't the real voices of the 
          Iraqi people, themselves, contradict the rosy scenarios you're 
          painting here today? 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: Let me start by that. You said the poll was taken when 
          the CPA was there? 
          
          Q One poll -- 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: Okay, let me stop you. First of all, the Iraqi people 
          now have got Iraqi leadership. Prime Minister Allawi and his cabinet 
          are making decisions on behalf of the Iraqi people. Secondly, I saw a 
          poll that said the right track/wrong track in Iraq was better than 
          here in America. (Laughter.) It's pretty darn strong. I mean, the 
          people see a better future. 
          
          Talk to the leader. I agree -- I'm not the expert on how the Iraqi 
          people think, because I live in America, where it's nice and safe and 
          secure. But I talk to this man. One reason I'm optimistic about our 
          ability to get the job done is because I talk to the Iraqi Prime 
          Minister. I'm also optimistic that people will choose freedom over 
          tyranny every time. That's what I believe. 
          
          But, Mr. Prime Minister, you might answer the question on the polls. 
          There's a lot of polls; sometimes they show you up and sometimes they 
          show you down, as you might remember. 
          
          PRIME MINISTER ALLAWI: Let me -- let me take a minute to explain to 
          you something, a factual event. I meet, personally, every now and then 
          with the fringes of the so-called resistance to try and talk them into 
          respecting law and order and withdraw their arms. And I ask them in a 
          very honest, very open way, I say to them, "What do you want to 
          achieve? Could you know exactly what you want to achieve? Do you want 
          to bring Saddam back from the hole in the ground, living like a rat? 
          Do you want to bring him back to rule Iraq? Or do you want to bring 
          bin Laden or similar persons to bin Laden to rule Iraq? If you want to 
          do this, we will fight you room to room, house to house. If you want 
          to be part of the political process, you have to be part of the 
          political process, you are welcome. 
          
          If you do not want the multinational force in Iraq -- I was talking to 
          Fallujah people recently, to tribes, ex-army officers, ex-Saddam 
          loyalists -- if you want the multinational force out, win the 
          elections, go to the United Nations, talk to the Security Council, and 
          tell them we don't need the multinational forces. But I tell you what 
          is going to happen. If you ask the multinational force to leave 
          prematurely -- this is me talking to the Fallujah people -- your 
          country will be in ruins, and we cannot now, on our feet, stand and 
          fight terrorism and global terrorism. 
          
          These are realities. And once you are in Iraq, I will be my (sic) 
          host. I can put you together with these people in my home and you can 
          talk to them. And you can find out yourselves that the Iraqis, 
          tremendously, by and large, respect the United States, and respect the 
          other partners in the coalition for helping Iraq, not only in 
          liberation, but now in helping Iraq to rebuild itself and to rebuild 
          its institutions. 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: Let me -- let me say one other thing about why I'm 
          optimistic we'll succeed. By the way, you can understand it's tough 
          and still be optimistic. You can understand how hard it is and believe 
          we'll succeed. 
          
          I remember when some were talking about the possibility of success in 
          Afghanistan in pretty stark terms. I don't know if you remember that 
          period or not, but there was a period where some were saying that it 
          wasn't possible for democracy to come forward in Afghanistan. Today, 
          10 million citizens have registered to vote, 41 percent of whom are 
          women. It's a phenomenal statistic, I think. I think it shows what's 
          possible if you believe -- if you have certain beliefs from which you 
          won't waver. And I believe people yearn to be free. 
          
          Again, I think if you look at polls -- which, sometimes I do and 
          sometimes I don't, admittedly, Moran -- that, by far, the vast 
          majority of Iraqis want to vote. They want to live in freedom. And the 
          fundamental question is, do we -- is this: Do we have the will to 
          stay? Do we have the will to put smart strategy in place? I've laid 
          out the strategy; we're implementing the strategy. But really, do we 
          have the will to complete the mission? And my message to the Iraqi 
          people, and to the enemy, and to our troops in harm's way, and to our 
          allies is: We'll complete the mission. 
          
          Listen, last question -- Wendell. And then we -- I think it's probably 
          time to head into the air-conditioning -- 
          
          Q Mr. President -- 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: Excuse me, ma'am. 
          
          Wendell. 
          
          Q Thank you, sir. Mr. President, in the past couple of days you have 
          been talking about the consequences of the mixed messages you say John 
          Kerry sends. I want to ask you, sir, do you mean immediate 
          consequences, not just if the Senator is elected? Do you mean that the 
          messages being sent now have a negative effect on the effort in Iraq? 
          And does making the war in Iraq a part of a campaign also have 
          consequences on the situation there, sir? 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: Well, I think -- look, in a campaign, it's -- the war 
          of Iraq is going to be part of a campaign. It's -- this is a major 
          moment in American history. These are historic times. And I view it as 
          a great opportunity to help secure our country. As I said before, Iraq 
          is a central part of the war on terror. And I believe it's important 
          for us to succeed there because of that. 
          
          See, 9/11 changed everything. September the 11th meant that we had to 
          deal with a person like Saddam Hussein. Of course, I was hoping it 
          could be done diplomatically. But diplomacy failed. And so the last 
          resort of a President is to use force. And we did. And now we're -- 
          we're helping the Iraqis. 
          
          The Prime Minister said something very interesting a while ago, and 
          it's important for the American people to understand. Our strategy is 
          to help the Iraqis help themselves. It's important that we train Iraqi 
          troops. There are nearly 100,000 troops trained. The Afghan (sic) 
          national army is a part of the army. By the way -- it's the Afghan 
          [sic] national army that went into Najaf and did the work there. 
          There's a regular army being trained. There are border guards being 
          trained. There are police being trained. That's a key part of our 
          mission. 
          
          But, Wendell, I think the world watches America. We're an influential 
          nation, and everybody watches what we say. And I think it's very 
          important for the American President to mean what he says. That's why 
          I understand that the enemy could misread what I say. That's why I try 
          to be as clearly I can. I don't want them to be emboldened by any 
          confusion or doubt. I don't want them to think that, well, maybe all 
          they got to do is attack and we'll shirk our duties. See, they've been 
          emboldened before. They have caused certain nations to withdraw from 
          coalitions as a result of their action, such action reinforcing the 
          ability for suiciders, for example, to effect free societies. I know 
          that. I've seen firsthand the tactics of these killers. And so 
          therefore, I think it's very important for all of us involved in the 
          process not to send mixed signals. 
          
          I don't know what the enemy thinks today. But I do know they're 
          watching America very carefully. I do know they want to affect other 
          nations by their acts of murder. I do know they were emboldened by 
          Spain withdrew from Iraq as a result of attacks on election. And 
          therefore, I have a duty to our troops -- for starters, most 
          importantly -- not to send a mixed signal. I want our troops to know 
          that the sacrifices they are making are worthwhile and necessary for 
          the security of this country. And I want -- don't want the Iraqis to 
          fear that, oh, all of a sudden, there will be a change of heart, that 
          there'll be tough times politically, or that a poll might say 
          something and, therefore, cause me to change my opinion. I don't want 
          them to think that, because they have to make the hard choices for 
          freedom. They have to go from a society that has been tortured by a 
          brutal thug to a society in which they take responsibility for their 
          daily lives. 
          
          I don't want the coalition forces to feel like we're wavering. And so 
          I understand that people watch our words. And that's an explanation of 
          why I say what I say. 
          
          Listen, thank you all very much. 
          
          Mr. Prime Minister, appreciate you. Good job. 
          
          PRIME MINISTER ALLAWI: Okay. Thank you. 
          
          PRESIDENT BUSH: Proud you're here. 
          
           
           
                      
                      
                      Teresa’s glass balls
          
          Teresa Heinz Kerry has taken up a new line of talk... predicting the 
          future. At a Democrat fundraiser in Phoenix, Arizona, the gaffe gal 
          pulled out a glass ball and predicted Osama bin Laden would be 
          captured before the November election:
          
          "I wouldn't be surprised if he appeared in the next month," said Heinz 
          Kerry.
          
          The Phoenix Business Journal [LINK] 
          goes on to report that Teresa pulled out another glass ball and 
          predicted that President Bush might reinstate the draft – a 
          fabrication being used by her husband, John Kerry.
          
          Reaction by the GOP came from Bush Southwestern campaign spokesman 
          Danny Diaz:
          
          Diaz said the Kerry camp is "irresponsible" for bringing up the draft 
          issue and contends the Democrat is doing it for political gain. 
          
          Diaz also criticized Kerry for shifting positions on Iraq on the 
          campaign trail after voting to authorize military action in 2002. 
          
          "Arizonans need a president they can count on, a leader who knows what 
          he believes, and after reading the morning's paper, doesn't shift his 
          stance to accommodate the opposition," Diaz said. 
          
           
          
          Kerry biographer Brinkley:
          “Kerry was not the war hero we thought he was”
          
          A New York Times article [LINK] 
          takes a look at the fallout of the 
          what-did-you-do-during-the-Vietnam-War issue. Included in the 
          exploration is Kerry biographer Douglas Brinkley discusses the impact 
          of the Vietnam War on both presidential candidates and concludes:
          
          "Every American now knows that there's something really screwy about 
          George Bush and the National Guard, and they know that John Kerry was 
          not the war hero we thought he was," said Douglas Brinkley, the 
          historian and author of a friendly biography of Mr. Kerry's war years, 
          acknowledging that Mr. Kerry's opponents had succeeded in raising 
          questions about his service. 
          
          Pretty damning statement, considering Brinkley wrote the fluff 
          biography on Kerry, titled, “Tour of Duty” which detailed what a hero 
          Kerry was. Considering the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth charges 
          against Kerry concerning Purple Heart medals for injuries accidentally 
          self-inflicted (and not requiring more than a band aide to patch up), 
          perhaps Brinkley would also like to rewrite the biography...
          
          Burkett: Lockhart asked me for documents
          
          NewsMax.com story [LINK]:
          
          Former National Guard commander Bill Burkett has become the first 
          player in the CBS forged document scandal to implicate John Kerry's 
          presidential campaign, telling the Fort Worth Star Telegram that top 
          Kerry aide Joe Lockhart pressed him to turn over damaging evidence on 
          George Bush. 
          
          During a single phone conversation with Lockhart, Burkett told the 
          Telegram that he suggested a "couple of concepts on what I thought 
          (Kerry) had to do" to beat Bush. 
          
          In return, he said, Lockhart tried to "convince me as to why I 
          should give them the documents." Lockhart has staunchly denied that he 
          ever discussed the forged documents with Burkett, though he confirmed 
          that a conversation had indeed taken place in a call arranged by "60 
          Minutes" producer Mary Mapes. 
          
          But with Burkett now claiming otherwise, Republicans have their first 
          evidence of Rathergate wrongdoing that directly implicates the Kerry 
          campaign. 
          
          Burkett also complained that "60 Minutes" anchorman Dan Rather tried 
          to set him up as a "fall guy" in the forged document scandal during 
          his mea culpa broadcast on Monday. 
          
          "He snipped [my interview] apart to cover them," he told the Telegram. 
          "That's all that that evening news was - to find a fall guy. And it 
          was me." 
          
          "Dan Rather ruined my reputation in front of 70 million people," he 
          added. 
          
          Burkett's former lawyer said Tuesday that the controversial Guardsman 
          was preparing a lawsuit against CBS.
 
          
          SHOCKER: CBS boss
          Sumner Redstone endorses Bush!
          
          Damage control for CBS? The Wall Street Journal’s OpinionJournal 
          reports the following bomb:
          
          With the scandal at CBS still festering, questions are being raised 
          about whether a felony was committed when the network broadcast 
          apparently forged memos in an attempt to discredit George W. Bush. 
          Yesterday, the chairman of CBS's parent company chose Hong Kong as a 
          place to drop a little bomb. Sumner Redstone, who calls himself a 
          "liberal Democrat," said he's supporting President Bush. 
          
          The chairman of the entertainment giant Viacom said the reason was 
          simple: Republican values are what U.S. companies need. Speaking to 
          some of America's and Asia's top executives gathered for Forbes 
          magazine's annual Global CEO Conference, Mr. Redstone declared: "I 
          look at the election from what's good for Viacom. I vote for what's 
          good for Viacom. I vote, today, Viacom.”
          
          "I don't want to denigrate Kerry," he went on, "but from a Viacom 
          standpoint, the election of a Republican administration is a better 
          deal. Because the Republican administration has stood for many things 
          we believe in, deregulation and so on. The Democrats are not bad 
          people. . . . But from a Viacom standpoint, we believe the election of 
          a Republican administration is better for our company." 
          
          Sharing the stage with Mr. Redstone was Steve Forbes, CEO, president 
          and editor in chief of Forbes and a former Republican presidential 
          aspirant, who quipped: "Obviously you're a very enlightened CEO."
          
          Kerry’s weakness: fighting terrorism
          
          Fighting terrorism is where Sen. John Kerry shows the weakest in 
          polls. However, Kerry continues to try and become a credible terrorist 
          fighter. The Boston Globe reports that the Kerry campaign is going to 
          release a seven-point plan to fight terrorism today. 
          
          The Kerry campaign is also releasing a fifth new and different TV ad 
          in six days. The new ad attacks Bush’s handling of the war on 
          terrorism. [LINK 
          to see ad] The ad states:
          
          Narrator: "George Bush keeps telling us things are getting better in 
          Iraq. The facts tell a different story. Terrorists are pouring into 
          the country. Attacks on U.S. forces are increasing every month. A 
          thousand American soldiers have died. We need a fresh start to fix the 
          mess in Iraq. The Kerry Solution: Allies share the burden. Train 
          Iraqis to protect themselves. Take the real steps needed to hold free 
          elections. John Kerry. A new direction in Iraq."
          
          John Kerry: "I’m John Kerry and I approved this message."
          
          Kerry may have a problem with the old flip-flop aspect of this story 
          as The Washington Times’ Inside the Beltway [LINK] 
          reports that a tape from CNN has been produced that has Kerry arguing 
          in favor of a preemptive strike against Iraq:
          
          "We know we can't count on the French. We know we can't count on the 
          Russians," said Mr. Kerry. "We know that Iraq is a danger to the 
          United States, and we reserve the right to take pre-emptive action 
          whenever we feel it's in our national interest." 
          
          Trust in media at all time low
          
          The Washington Times [LINK] 
          reports on how the press is not trusted:
          
          A Gallup poll released yesterday finds that the public's trust in the 
          press has reached its lowest point in three decades. Only 9 percent of 
          those surveyed said they had a "great deal" of confidence that news 
          was reported fully, accurately and fairly in print and broadcast 
          outlets. 
          
          An additional 39 percent said they had little confidence, and 16 
          percent said they had "none at all." Some were more tolerant: 35 
          percent said they had "a fair amount" of trust. 
           
          Tonight at 7 p.m. eastern, tune into MSNBC's "Hardball" where host 
          Chris Matthews will debate John O'Neill, member of Swift Boat Veterans 
          for Truth and author of "Unfit for Command," the #1  New York Times 
          bestseller.
          
          In other news, the SwiftVets' newest television spot makes public a 
          secret meeting between John Kerry and enemy leaders of North Vietnam.  
          According to the Kerry campaign, the clandestine meeting occurred in 
          Paris in May 1970.
          
          "Kerry's meeting with leaders of North Vietnam came at a time when our 
          men were still in prison camps," said Rear Admiral Roy Hoffmann, 
          founder of Swift Boat Veterans for Truth. "Kerry's meeting gave 
          credibility to the communist regime's wartime propaganda efforts and 
          extended the imprisonment of our POWs by two years," said RADM 
          Hoffmann.
          
          "Our newest ad highlights a continuing pattern by Senator Kerry of 
          placing his personal ambitions above the interests of our nation," 
          said Mr. O'Neill, author if Unfit for Command.  "When he secretly met 
          with the enemy in 1970, he did so at great detriment to his fellow 
          sailors, to our POWs, and to our nation.  He undermined our war 
          effort, giving the enemy greater resolve and determination."
          
           "More recently, his announcement to withdraw troops in Iraq 
          commencing in six months is caused by that very same political 
          expediency and has the very same effect.  All he has done has given 
          terrorists the resolve to stick with it for another six months," said 
          O'Neill.
          
          The new message is a $1.3 million advertising blitz reaching Americans 
          in Pennsylvania, Ohio, West Virginia, Nevada and New Mexico.
          
          View the new ad at
          
          www.swiftvets.com <http://www.swiftvets.com> 
          where there is contact information for inquiries from the news media 
          and the public
          
          The Associated Press [LINK] 
          reports that former CBS anchorman Walter Cronkite says the CBS forged 
          memos hit piece on President Bush is embarrassing...
          
          "The reaction at the moment, of course, is embarrassment for everyone 
          who is connected to CBS, and that embarrassment, I hope, will be 
          squashed in time as we know what happened," Cronkite said. 
          
          Two men have been asked to handle the CBS internal investigation into 
          the mess. They are: Dick Thornburgh, attorney general in the Reagan 
          and first Bush administrations and former Pennsylvania governor, and 
          Louis D. Boccardi, who retired last year as president and chief 
          executive officer of The Associated Press. News sources report the 
          final conclusion should be made public within weeks.