Iowa... Where Presidents Begin

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click on each candidate to see today's news stories (caricatures by Linda Eddy)


Wednesday, Feb. 6, 2008


Super Tuesday results:

CLINTON wins 499 delegates/total 760 [2,025 needed]:

Arkansas, Arizona, California, Massachusetts, New York, Oklahoma, Tennessee

OBAMA wins 491 delegates/total 693 [2,025 needed]:

Alaska, Alabama, Connecticut, Colorado, Delaware, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, North Dakota, Utah

MCCAIN wins 468 delegates/total 570 [1,191 needed]:

Arizona, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, Oklahoma

ROMNEY wins 158 delegates/total 251 [1,191 needed]:

Colorado, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Montana, North Dakota, Utah

HUCKABEE wins 132 delegates/total 175 [1,191 needed]:

Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Tennessee, West Virginia



Turnout: Dems wallop GOP

Across the country, over three million more voters turned out in Democratic primaries than Republican contests -- a trend that persisted even in traditionally conservative states. Turnout in Missouri's Democratic primary was a whopping 70% higher than the G.O.P. contest, for example, where Obama won by a point. The last time the state held two contested primaries, in 2000, Republicans beat Democratic turnout by 56%.

New Mexico primary still too close to call...

With turnout far exceeding expectations, Democratic rivals Barack Obama and Hillary Rodham Clinton were separated by roughly 100 votes early Wednesday in an excruciatingly close battle to win New Mexico’s presidential caucus...

Dem exit polls: Clinton, Obama split key demographics

Exit polling from Tuesday’s Democratic primaries in 16 states found key strengths for both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, mostly on gender, race, income and age.

Slate: Did Obama or Clinton win Super Tuesday?

Both candidates took advantage of their strengths but didn't put to rest questions about their weaknesses. Obama beat Clinton by 40 points among the 52 percent of voters who say they want change. Clinton trounced him 91 percent to 5 percent among those who say experience is the most important quality in a candidate, but that group represented only 22 percent of the voters.

In a political year during which the conventional wisdom has taken beating after beating, perhaps no assumption has been made more obsolete than the idea that the front-loaded primary system would foist an early winner on the American people.

see also: Dems head for messy nomination process

              No one scores Super Knockout

The next big prize: Washington state on Saturday

"All eyes will be on Washington for the next couple of days," said Travis Ridout, a Washington State University professor who studies presidential politics. "It's the next battleground."

With Republican caucuses in Kansas, Democratic caucuses in Nebraska and both parties' Louisiana primaries also on Saturday, Washington will have some competition for the spotlight. But the state, with its 97 Democratic delegates and 40 Republican delegates, is going to be key for both parties, according to analysts and campaign staffers.



Democrats' superdelegate info

Republicans' delegate info


Upcoming Primary/Caucus Dates
DEM goal 2,025       GOP goal 1,191

Saturday., Feb. 9



Louisiana (67)   Neb. (31)   Washington (97)   Virgin Is. (9)

Kansas (39)   Louisiana (47)   Washington (40)

Sunday, Feb. 10


Maine (34)

Tuesday, Feb. 12



District of Columbia (37)   Maryland (99)   Virginia (101)

District of Columbia (19)   Maryland (37)   Virginia (63)

Saturday, Feb. 16


Guam (9)

Tuesday, Feb. 19



Hawaii (29)   Wisconsin (92)

Wisconsin (40)

Tuesday, Feb. 23


American Samoa (9)

Tuesday, March 4



Ohio (161)   Rhode Is. (32)   Texas (228)   Vermont (23)

Ohio (  88)   Rhode Is. (20)   Texas (140)   Vermont (17)

Saturday, March 8


Wyoming (18)

Tuesday, March 11



Mississippi (40)

Mississippi (39)

Tuesday, April 5


Virgin Islands (9)

Tuesday, April 22



Pennsylvania (188)

Pennsylvania (74)

Saturday, May 3


Guam (9)

Tuesday, May 6



Indiana (84)   North Carolina (134)

Indiana (57)   North Carolina (69)

Tuesday, May 13



West Virginia (39)

Saturday, May 17


Hawaii (20)

Tuesday, May 20



Kentucky (60)   Oregon (65)

Kentucky (45)   Oregon (30)

Tuesday, May 27


Idaho (32)

Tuesday, June 3



Montana (24)   South Dakota (23)

New Mexico (32)   South Dakota (27)

Saturday, June 7


Puerto Rico (63)

Saturday, July 12


Nebraska (33)




Mike Huckabee... today's headlines with excerpts

Huckabee's Super Tuesday speech






Huckabee shines on Super Tuesday

Mike Huckabee surged to victories throughout the South just days after ignoring calls to drop out of the race.

... written off as a spoiler by other Republican front-runners, Huckabee made a showing that could slingshot him back into contention -- winning the West Virginia party convention then primaries in Alabama, Georgia, Tennessee and his home state of Arkansas.

The former Southern governor and Baptist minister showed well among evangelicals and other social conservatives -- edging out McCain and Romney throughout the South in tight races.

... "Over the past few days, a lot of people have been trying to say that this is a two-man race," Huckabee said to cheering supporters in Little Rock, Arkansas, Tuesday night. "Well, you know what? It is and we're in it."

see also: Southern states keep Huckabee's bid alive

              Huckabee: a vindication in Little Rock




Mitt Romney... today's headlines with excerpts

Romney's Super Tuesday speech






Romney vows to fight to convention

Mitt Romney pledged Tuesday night to keep fighting for the GOP nomination, despite winning only a handful of states, including his home state of Massachusetts and Utah, the home of his Mormon faith.

Romney's big push nets little

Romney's final campaigning failed to produce a first or second place finis in the bulk of the states he visited. In Tennessee, Missouri, Georgia and Oklahoma, Romney trailed Mike Huckabee, the man he tried to write out of the race. Romney also lost California, which he visited Monday, to McCain, and West Virginia, which he visited Tuesday morning, to Huckabee.

Romney camp alleges McCain/Huckabee 'backroom deal'

Mitt Romney’s campaign accused Sen. John McCain (Ariz.) and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee of “a backroom deal” that gave the early Super Tuesday win in West Virginia to Huckabee.

Romney, who addressed the state GOP convention in person Tuesday, comfortably led the first ballot at the convention, leading to a three-way second ballot contest between the three contenders.

Marc Ambinder of The Atlantic reported Tuesday that, after the first ballot, McCain’s campaign called his supporters there and urged them to vote in favor of Huckabee.

“Unfortunately, this is what Senator McCain’s inside Washington ways look like: he cut a backroom deal with the tax-and-spend candidate he thought could best stop Governor Romney’s campaign of conservative change,” Beth Myers, Romney’s campaign manager, said in a statement.



John McCain... today's headlines with excerpts

McCain to resurrect Reagan to introduce him to C-PAC tomorrow

McCain is planning an all-out push at CPAC.  At 3 pm tomorrow, McCain is scheduled to address the crowd expected to number over 6,000 activists.  And McCain plans a very special introduction. 

According to my source, McCain has prepared a video featuring President Ronald Reagan to make the introduction. If McCain uses this video, it is very likely to backfire badly.  This is the group before which Ronald Reagan said in 1975 that, “A political party cannot be all things to all people. It must represent certain fundamental beliefs which must not be compromised to political expediency or simply to swell its numbers.” 

Very few of the 2008 CPAC crowd will see McCain as the successor to Reagan and Reagan’s principles.  McCain has sacrificed conservatives’ fundamental beliefs throughout his Senate career.  If McCain uses this introduction, the boos will be very loud...

Dobson delivers blow to McCain

James Dobson, the influential founder of the conservative, evangelical advocacy group Focus on the Family, has delivered a blow to John McCain — by saying he won’t vote for him if he’s the Republican presidential nominee.

“I am convinced Sen. McCain is not a conservative, and in fact, has gone out of his way to stick his thumb in the eyes of those who are … I cannot, and will not, vote for Sen. John McCain, as a matter of conscience,” he said in a statement on Tuesday.

Conservatives vow to become 'suicide voters'

McCain has so radicalized key conservatives that some have vowed to turn themselves into suicide voters next November by pulling the lever for Hillary Rodham Clinton over him. [Ann Coulter, Rush Limbaugh, James Dobson,

McCain's Super Tuesday speech






McCain seizes command of GOP race

"We've won some of the biggest states in the country," McCain told cheering supporters at a rally in Phoenix, hours before California made his Tuesday Super. An underdog for months, he proclaimed himself the front-runner at last, and added. "I don't really mind it one bit."

In the competition that counted the most, the Arizona senator had 525 delegates, more than 40 percent of the 1,191 needed for the nomination—and far ahead of his rivals.

Even so, Romney and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee said they were staying in the race.

McCain frail with the Far Right

John McCain emerged from Super Tuesday the undisputed heavyweight in the fight for the Republican presidential nomination. He also flashed signs of a glass jaw.

McCain's apparent victories in 8 states — including the delegate treasure troves of California, New York and Missouri — gave the perennial underdog a novel air of inevitability. But the wins don't appear to be enough to knock Mitt Romney nor the surprisingly resurgent Mike Huckabee out of the race quite yet.

More worrisome is that McCain's soft vote tallies in southern states and the bible belt, as well as in exit poll results of conservatives across the country, exposed a profound weakness with the party's base.

... the real test of the gulf between McCain and conservatives — and his ability to bridge it — comes Thursday at the annual Conservative Political Action Committee (CPAC) conference in Washington. CPAC is the Lollapalooza of the Republican right, and its founder, David Keene, has been an outspoken critic of McCain's perceived anti-conservative transgressions



Ron Paul... today's headlines with excerpts

After Super Tuesday, Ron Paul should consider a Plan B

Tracking the Ron Paul bid for over a year, I had expected better results last night....

... From the beginning, Ron Paul said that this race is not about him, but the message. Unless his campaign can do something quickly to change these trends, the message will finish fourth, along with the candidate.

... With very few delegates to date, he doesn't have the leverage to negotiate with Romney or Huckabee. He does have a few million dollars in the bank, which may be more than the three amigos combined. If he stays in, and Huckabee drops out, which doesn't seem likely as long as the governor has some money to continue, there will be less competition for the libertarian message. Discounting a possible run in another party, it's probably the best Paul can hope for.






Hillary Clinton... today's headlines with excerpts

Hillary seen as 'lesser threat' to McCain

"With Hillary Clinton, John McCain would start as a very moderate favorite," pollster Scott Rasmussen said. "McCain would have the edge among independent voters. He is viewed very favorably by independents and Senator Clinton struggles in that area."

Pollster John Zogby agreed, saying, "Obama does better against McCain than Hillary does because she is so polarizing. ... A lot of people will simply be voting against her."

Hillary Clinton's Super Tuesday speech






Hillary takes California in tight race

New York Sen. Hillary Clinton claimed the biggest prize of Super Tuesday's Democratic primaries with a win in California...

... California -- where 441 Democratic delegates will be chosen -- was the biggest prize of the night, and exit polls indicated a close race between Clinton and Obama there. As polls closed on the West Coast, Clinton congratulated Obama and said the campaign would go on.




Barack Obama... today's headlines with excerpts

Obama claims delegate lead

Clinton was portrayed in many news accounts as the night’s big winner, but Obama’s campaign says he wound up with a higher total where it really counts — the delegates who will choose the party’s nominee at this summer’s Democratic convention.

With the delegate count still under way, NBC News said Obama appears to have won around 840 delegates in yesterday’s contests, while Clinton earned about 830 — “give or take a few,” Tim Russert, the network’s Washington bureau chief, said on the “Today” show.

Obama's Super Tuesday speech






Obama wins big on independents

... the campaign also seized on the results as evidence that Obama has more national appeal than Clinton. While Clinton scored a few victories in key coastal states like California, she only broke 60 percent in one state, Arkansas. Obama not only won more states, but racked up victories over 60 percent in seven states, buoyed in part by organizing prowess in caucus contests. More consequentially, he won independents by large margins in most regions, including states in Clinton's column, such as Arizona and New Jersey, where one out of five primary voters were independents. He won them by 15 points in Clinton's home state of New York, and by 30 points in California. In the swing state of Missouri, independents flocked to Obama by a decisive 37 points, securing his narrow victory there.

For months, skeptics said Obama might have niche appeal among independents in small states that reward retail politicking, but he could not scale those advantages in a national race. In a single day, Obama proved his independent appeal in about half the country.

see also: Many new voters agree, time has come for Obama

Why Republicans like Obama and what it means

Peter Wehner/WashingtonPost:

A number of prominent Republicans I know, who would wage a pitched battle against Hillary Clinton, like Obama and would find it hard to generate much enthusiasm in opposing him.

What is at the core of Obama's appeal?

Part of it is the eloquence and uplift of his speeches, combined with his personal grace and dignity. He seems to be a well-grounded, decent, thoughtful man. He comes across, in his person and manner, as nonpartisan. He has an unsurpassed ability to (seemingly) transcend politics. Even when he disagrees with people, he doesn't seem disagreeable.

... A second reason Republicans appreciate Obama is that he is pitted against a couple, the Clintons, whom many Republicans hold in contempt.

... A third reason for Obama's GOP appeal is that unlike Clinton and especially John Edwards, Obama has a message that, at its core, is about unity and hope rather than division and resentment.

... The one thing that will keep Obama's appeal from translating into widespread support among Republicans is that he is, on almost every issue, a conventional liberal....






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